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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2653637 五月虚拟币市场不温不火,六月会怎么样呢? 1717125349 22301
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12086 小时
本月在线: 44 小时
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的
% R- U% P1 o& |. k' T9 j, c) O4 N6 Q/ K! s; W
总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,
$ Q8 t% ]/ r8 P9 V
* X7 _$ h2 |3 T1 N( v" O$ s方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。' c7 }& _ f0 l2 g- Y
- h0 F! }5 o/ Z
! ], W% E! s% S
: s+ h. ~+ U6 w* K; g5 b1 Q0 R0 L! L 牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,# t3 O+ m) C/ Y# I! ^+ g$ K1 H3 l1 z# _
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Fidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天
8 z/ B" Q- l) X+ c; q
" H F# O' u# a内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF2 F( n. f: p& Q$ ~
9 E/ M. Y' E7 `6 C/ k宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿" k) p- G2 D$ c! M# b g# a0 K! D
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枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到
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% z9 P# R: |! t4 H$ |$ M, ek线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成8 |- R6 n/ `0 h$ w6 L3 r& V+ I
% v* f+ v) ]! m D0 A# N1 F震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死
% i. i0 i: W" V8 ?" a# d' G! j+ J5 _& a* W1 R% N7 m2 S! D
叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了8 L4 V1 h# z8 T- V; H0 f
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避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确
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定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
6 f6 P9 I# a8 G" ^- G0 A3 j+ s& `& g m6 P! [7 y) l' I1 o. _& \
间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认. q$ Z, q! B0 c$ T. C" j2 q
6 g& ^8 O( n6 [/ V6 r; d: R为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。/ \4 o9 M5 z* V* t" `2 O$ i- ?
, b$ A' [% o6 g( [/ L- O' r从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
$ }6 Q. F4 C( @0 u: b: x# c4 S& Q/ x f6 t' v( \" i
,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑/ e' I* s$ i# U8 ~
6 a2 u M6 t: i: R6 l. O4 V位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,4 l, x) B0 {9 H' ^+ B+ Y& k
- K' e+ n0 X) R4 l2 bEMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。& [8 m& j* h1 [
7 @- N [4 F" [4 [6 l1 i% y- L
考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,+ `: W6 E. Z) }2 e! E
8 {) x; f3 G( p4 T( v
认为比特币至少会去次6万。+ o; Q9 V( q) h
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 8230 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 17029 小时
本月在线: 196 小时
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当前离线
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总在线: 12129 小时
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 3423 小时
本月在线: 41 小时
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2 f+ x2 N7 g1 \- N; E抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9416 小时
本月在线: 66 小时
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