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[lastpost] => 2656833 比特币价格预测:BTC跌至 $67,000 持续抛售还是买入机会?(转载) 1718325187 22301
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当前离线
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的7 T, t% Z4 L, \' H9 f* ?0 F, k* t
7 w/ p. M8 Z7 D [4 Q总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,. z& q( B5 l' E* w/ Q2 s
. k$ a2 ]. v/ V/ l, O8 L }
方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。
4 }' p+ S! B8 i+ p
8 Y0 x- S2 E% a/ R/ u) e
/ M" d3 k" U/ m$ d
% W( T* N5 T' O6 l8 o" {4 d 牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,
& W, L( k- p# h; k; ^: H* M2 X, b8 q% K, p; t8 Y- l) m
Fidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天
2 o3 @; c) L& x) Q9 \ o5 P0 P, k0 \# L7 Y% ]% k" r
内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF" y" ^* i8 Z9 t: s* Q8 ^
v3 m4 d9 ~/ H: C2 B宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿
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5 d! J( D: x% a# N4 |6 {枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到; \) @9 X9 a4 A. T3 Z2 g
. M9 v: |9 J3 I! _6 D; Ck线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成
6 u) M2 D; A+ ]0 o" I' D& |! v4 Y5 C+ ?6 P
震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死
, h9 ?$ X* I3 F& D
% k5 j5 b0 q: S8 v7 Z& G叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
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6 j2 L* N. @* j* K避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确7 ?8 b1 V8 J! r' g
* [; J1 W: Z9 y" h6 P定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时 P' R" z/ ^6 e1 k
. L' X9 w" `2 t2 |% \8 Q间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认
6 {( f/ j; B. w& j, b b
" y( C2 M$ ]0 T: a0 z8 Y为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。 w2 A# R' t' v9 T4 ^
; H6 D* `* L5 z2 ^; c0 Z) e从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑9 F$ g$ K8 ]1 J1 z2 _. B
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,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
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; q; g5 s+ m2 u: Q& v位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,6 Q1 N9 i, s& i: a" v) T
8 X5 B. S0 ]8 K/ u5 c4 N6 k9 T
EMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。
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7 z7 h+ z! w+ u考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,
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认为比特币至少会去次6万。7 }: E$ F. S0 t8 l# o7 u4 l9 k* w
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$ m6 Q, S( x3 U; w/ x
抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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