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[真人] 百家乐的大、小概率,来个高人看看
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1#
现在网上百家乐偶尔有些场子是有买大小的,大(5、6张牌),小(4张牌)。想求教大小出现的概率是多少!来个高人帮忙算算!
% n; z" h' g/ O4 }感谢!
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2#
这个不会搞呢。。
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3#
回复 1# ccfilm , P% K2 M2 L7 T) B
# Q, K! `8 G$ G% u' H3 E

' `" y5 U% Q, X# X/ X% R. G3 u   我算不上高人,但有一点可以肯定的告诉你,买百家乐的大小你绝占不到便宜!!!
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4#
大小张牌太鬼,不要买啊朋友,就押庄闲就可以
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
具体的不知道,反正买大小你会吃大亏。
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6#
已经查到了,贴出来各位参考:
3 m: L+ M/ z4 f  D$ N6 J: i' v- R: ?5 ^: B5 h  u) @5 u8 z/ P( G
百家乐大小概率:5 A) s% d% U  s; x* M( p
小分3种情况:7 H6 e5 ?' K1 Z9 u) h
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。" k0 g- e$ g7 S0 r
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。& e/ E( R- h, [  H5 A% U
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。* W+ F4 L' R/ y3 p8 U
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
, n4 m! j; R8 z7 M  O$ U) F" l7 N" s1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
: j  W  U% H- \  g# B0 t1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415' o6 P& H( Y/ i' G4 ~0 p* _6 l
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
) n+ S/ B2 e9 f" P( k3 K1 W8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
8 c8 Q4 p  p: ], e- J5 a由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
" D9 D6 W! s5 f, f通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。& X) ]. L9 i/ B: }: {
那么我们可以得出
6 D; p" e0 F" b9 E4 o8 A1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
$ a2 K( W- a) O( [2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171  2 r& |( v* k) \% |* q+ N
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854915 ]  H, _. z+ ^7 I' K+ |
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
5 }* t2 `' L/ B( |" J/ L百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
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7#
小0.378869323" t/ c& f" [9 `% z; k8 [! R
大0.6211306777 }5 ^/ W$ r( E, N6 u

2 G3 d8 T5 q& q; r3 s由此得知小赔1.5,大赔0.54的情况下,
; T! p3 ^# e- |: A$ T$ @' e. }0 O3 T- ^
小的收益率为-0.1394324884 G- H! B* r+ [. t1 g; u( B3 @
大的收益率为-0.069967173

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参与人数 1经验 +5 收起 理由
avatar 天策-团团 + 5 谢谢解答

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8#
若要正期望值,则赔率应为:4 y: G4 ]# [$ u( V8 b: e$ a  Z
: h- L1 n; x, E! @
小赔1.63
/ G+ g; i8 Z: ]大赔0.609967173
- C! n4 J% T2 `' Q: n' O
+ H, ?* X4 d* H& n" ~% W/ q8 Y方为正期望值,DC很黑啊。
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9#
开大两手 买大几率最大!
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10#
开大两手 买大几率最大!2 v7 v! G2 U/ g' [
fengzi8888 发表于 2013-3-7 20:26
3 n8 `! d$ I6 M; l3 p& I8 i/ Z
3 l  K1 e! T2 A; J" B. ~2 y+ w. G; m! T

9 e( q  b6 b& t: N   楼上您电影看多了吧。。
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回复 10# ccfilm 6 V( B  i6 Q9 Z+ t& w! L: v$ }) l% \

7 U+ f  q0 _( W% K- s" _( N
: r5 X/ s( u9 d! _' K$ J6 V  t    你可以去观察一下 。
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12#
这个不太会算
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感谢楼主的分享啊  看样子 大小的确不适合下注。
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14#
买大小,比买庄闲更容易失控
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