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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位
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(1)对下游球队的战绩。
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, C7 r( k7 A4 Y, c3 x(2)对中游球队的战绩。
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(3)对上游球队的战绩。  p6 y6 B7 u0 \0 f
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(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录
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2 O5 x- j5 K/ K6 N+ B一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。$ C# }2 A: t$ x4 h

5 ?% v# C9 m( p6 O3 B; B: m1 H! n0 H2、对比主客场胜率3 k1 E! Y5 |( @: \' J; c1 `

) g2 Q6 t3 H  u( T$ y8 h(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高) ^; f0 L; N: J! @* [; k

; C8 a$ Z- p; o0 m) J% p1 a(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高
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3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照( o4 @* ~# [4 h( r1 \6 `: l
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(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。
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(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)4 f3 Q( |$ k8 c, B
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(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大
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6 p$ _. s3 ]5 R/ A(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大, |" e# A: s- C5 g
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4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。 # P' [7 `. C; k6 J  f( W" m6 |
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(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易
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成为热点。
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(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。
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(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。
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% i/ a# z$ ~" t: o0 W(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。
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* a9 y' z) n$ i+ i1 s0 @/ s$ b4 c5 Z- T* Q(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。% O. J2 [* J. p% e, g

: d4 M& v% Q1 J0 V7 G5、确定受热方向) o; e) d+ W. P0 N

) _' ~6 y% X# H% k1 P根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:4 \2 t* x7 [! N: L
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(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金
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3 x; D0 v2 l# f2 y7 j0 c流入。 ! C+ R& q( K& y7 O6 J& _* K

* t( U8 D2 V% D! S1 g(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。3 p0 O2 u2 f6 @9 |5 Z
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(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做
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冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。
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1 M, \0 S* y6 O- ?4 I(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上. c3 H: S; z1 H! {: G6 T
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盘出。
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(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。/ G3 x3 h/ ~7 s& ~) V+ s6 o

2 @9 o1 X7 y# b1 p% j* z(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。
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盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。
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盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。# T8 e" I+ a8 v7 W0 D

! F; r  i% x0 M3 v) O( g$ t(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。
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! B( s; Y5 F0 \4 u6、最后检验阶段
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以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:/ `4 r4 h9 y2 E6 u) E& X% i

1 v$ q4 p/ F  T! q2 d" f9 i3 `4 U(1)检查高峰期水位。; u+ ]. E9 i9 |6 ?6 H
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(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。
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(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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