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以太坊预测转向看涨：第三季度可能达到 3000 美元吗？（转）
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随着 345 万 ETH 累计价格接近 2,500 美元，以太坊预测获得看涨权重。这是否加强了 ETH 在第三季度突破 3000 美元的理由？
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以太坊[ETH]第三季度开始强劲反弹，在不到一周的时间内收复了两个主要阻力位。
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* `8 l( ]: |+ K- i# U" x毫不奇怪，这种抛物线走势会促使交易员大量做空，其中 60% 的交易所头寸倾向于看跌。
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4 F; @" W" K, B% Z' h1 u要么是空头抢先拒绝，要么是他们低估了 ETH 冲动走势背后的力量。据 AMBCrypto 称，此次僵局的进展可能会影响未来一周以太坊的预测。
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% m" V1 w2 X$ i8 I( G; w第三季度以太坊预测的分歧
5 i& w7 q4 j! c: f; d# Z' Z( y* Z有趣的是，以太坊上涨近 7% 至 2,620 美元并非只是又一次反弹。相反，这是对上周 2.4 万美元下方窄幅区间的技术突破。9 ^% j. y& s' ~5 Y* h$ Y( w
( _; k; b7 |' j- a; n/ l该区间是在 ETH 于 6 月 22 日跌至数月低点 2,114 美元后形成的。
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ETH 在不到 20 个交易日内累计上涨近 23%。通常情况下，这种持续的盘整阶段会成为持续上涨的跳板。
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但背景很重要。在 5 月至 6 月的周期中，类似的以太坊预测在 2.8 万美元时就失败了，未能突破 3000 美元。
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随之而来的是急剧的去杠杆事件，导致 ETH 在不到两周的时间内下跌了 20%。) r# h z4 Y' |& N" B4 `
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快进到现在，以太坊的未平仓合约（OI）为 365 亿美元，抓挠回到 6 月中旬 417.5 亿美元的高点，就在那场大规模清算潮之前。& l2 |% L- c/ t9 [. q7 `5 r& ^) Z: \
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因此，空头纷纷涌入各大交易所，预期市场将再次出现上涨，这并不令人意外。
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O0 r [+ o% V/ I5 Y! n( M但这次的关键分歧是否会成为催化剂，证明空头过于倾向于不再适用的叙述——这可能会重新调整以太坊未来的预测？" Y& K5 e0 v# N" [9 w5 s5 _
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ETH 奠定了坚实的基础0 e2 ^! O; T5 e# O' O( Z b
以太坊在七月份的开始并不平静。在本月第一天大幅下跌 3.2% 之后，E第二天，TH 股价迅速反弹，上涨 6.86%，引发了典型的空头挤压。
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至关重要的是，以太坊预测的反弹不仅仅是由 ETH/BTC 比率的 3.78% 飙升所推动的。
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来自 Glassnode 的链上数据亮点2,513 美元至 2,536 美元的区间是主要需求区域，该水平已积累超过 345 万 ETH，这标志着 ETH 成为数月来最强劲的支撑区之一。
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有证据表明，现货 ETH ETF流入量急剧飙升7 月 3 日，该片上映票房达到 1.48 亿美元，创下近一个月以来单日最高纪录。/ K3 T: y% c; ? l1 z, k) {
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事实上，7 月份 ETF 总流入量目前已达到 3 亿美元，凸显了现货需求的稳步增长。
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8 o' e" e3 v% I7 e8 K ?这种分歧很重要。7 }! ]0 L: X) p! T4 |
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将阻力位转化为支撑位是收复高点的第一步。随着现货资金流入的增加，以太坊的预测似乎稳步迈向其 3000 美元的目标，并且随着第三季度的展开，以太坊可能还会进一步上涨。3 G9 n& W: ]5 H7 r, ]8 R5 g# S" a
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