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[lastpost] => 2796632 今日虚拟币市场是一个普跌了 1768272636 22301
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BCA Research表示,投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑,而这可能对比特币构成利好。. K& x: |. e$ R' {8 `
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出,目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产,并在股票投资中降低对美国9 n/ z8 R3 x8 u
# ?% @, k/ |8 [% Q$ i市场的权重。原因在于,海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产,担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。) ?9 l i5 M' A
, y3 P! g8 P5 O+ _, ]% k 与此同时,BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围,并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月,BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而$ i' |6 s7 o1 i$ P
6 e9 L' B' S; c& `“短期看空”比特币。
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) K" z1 J: ?! i “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下,比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道,“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来,活跃交易的比特币在整体已
7 r" W8 t" \) N: N) Z" ~$ R9 {& _' Y/ ]; v6 m) R
实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”9 @* o0 x) o) T3 }% f/ I
- l& W4 H4 L3 M 报告还指出,比特币作为“数字黄金”,正越来越像实物黄金那样表现,在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。3 \3 y- n7 K% l9 N" c
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, n, d9 v) U3 p% N7 G8 n6 H% X
|5 u* y4 M8 L' B5 g
' H2 Y6 g6 |4 G, i5 k 根据Coin Metrics的数据,自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期,现货黄金上涨了8%,
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。8 q8 W: n% P/ u7 [
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BCA在报告中进一步指出:“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺,但关税政策的模糊性,已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外,“激烈的: d# W% c. L# o
' g) x8 j& }4 e8 ]& h* E n利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛,但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号,才能恢复投资。”报告写道,“若无法及时提供清晰政策,! [* _, t2 @& G c
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”7 t) {4 A" a$ d" e* Z
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