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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
5 A4 r/ R3 o' b- G1 c: ZStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破 w- j! u* p& z
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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4 _; E" t; r! T: j' \实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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- x9 |- J6 x$ b' q7 j- c* g/ g这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。) Y8 g0 p& f8 l% B4 |
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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& k5 i5 p% [4 o" Y2 z0 E' b3 m红色海洋中的四个幸存者
% g1 |. l! a: }6 H2 a$ [- e根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。; U4 ?$ L( C5 _) `& u6 l( L
% r- x1 O, `! b+ T简而言之,表现不佳。7 q: }8 _ o$ ~* g; s. |4 ?+ r
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。* n2 i' n0 T; [0 t! \3 j% F: E9 k: j% ~
$ ?' _/ ]& e! c- [# S相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。8 h8 r' L# a8 h3 c" ~
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。. m( D2 W' g+ j. u: {; A7 l
- Z( w7 Q3 [8 z7 \: L3 gAltcoin信誉的消失法案: K2 [" a+ O/ w7 d P
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。) N" O) ~! H, y
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交易的势头最近也消失了。( i9 l3 W, o# m4 @
: k `; G9 z4 b& q2 b" a12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。9 `9 N; O9 [8 K0 Y8 r% ^8 s( `: V8 B
! K5 f! E% }* R+ r3 I+ d这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。. |9 b* p; V; J+ ^; Z
: O; T9 t3 z0 p# \/ e) E% s; E0 A十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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* |: U% R( o+ B- Q- s$ l' Y比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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( [9 X w% s& z7 l" p# w- `当高峰转向警告时! \/ o8 A3 W: v* ~
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
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) R6 X& B4 r( T) M, H1 o比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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& k+ n; p( f7 h这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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# w: ~3 P+ h5 X/ Y p每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。4 I5 O3 P6 S. x6 ?! M }
7 [6 r" Y' |% @8 }
比特币还是胸围?
) s8 K W' b/ {: u0 j2 O存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。& d$ l5 `" y4 y8 A+ P B
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。7 U* M* u, @% A. G& O4 |; l
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