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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境: [5 r: z7 M4 B! y: z, A
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破2 \7 t, {" f. n7 Q" P U
似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。, e. m" c8 u% K, O3 \
6 \/ N( }1 @' \实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。; T: Q H4 n; k+ d& w5 f
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者
: r) q6 A" \. H- N- H根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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' l/ a6 l: p7 g+ u/ n$ J相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。# u9 ?$ |" g. H8 M: I q6 K/ ~
& G0 U! s3 D1 [自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。0 q8 Y9 H8 b P% W) ^) D' k& N( o
% W: L# S( \! ^" JAltcoin信誉的消失法案
a( A% R5 ?$ x2 ^滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。& H" X" F! x& Q3 Y7 P
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交易的势头最近也消失了。/ o& E& D5 n8 o( J+ Y
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
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# C$ G- R7 ?3 n1 s这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。+ |9 l( ]' C0 y0 X; I
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。+ g; e* [+ `+ C ?: L: v' L2 l& h8 o
. L+ ]% t5 S) c- m( q) P) F1 w比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。& p7 v" D3 L" K4 w' e$ H
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当高峰转向警告时, r* V [1 B3 i* d! r+ u
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。; R8 K7 h2 ?, F, A& i o
3 e0 ~& m7 \2 u比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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P: T( k* _ x4 X. `0 k5 n6 t! p这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。* W# |* s; I; X
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。; ~, x! J4 i" s$ u
3 }6 \" i/ \" g比特币还是胸围?
+ C" Y, D: ]1 w存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。$ u3 I$ L! ]& H) ^' [
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。$ H9 ]. e, f) L! O) y/ z
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