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[虚拟币交流]
比特币$ 95K的支持测试:公牛会返回$ 99,000吗?(转)
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随着比特币在看跌式打ic中返回95,000美元,BTC公牛会重新获得控制以恢复上升趋势吗?# w t: }# V/ T5 @: @
5 L, `$ X2 M" A, N2 s* g/ O* m经过2.74%的快速回调比特币在过去的24小时内,BTC的价格为95,500美元。目前,这一突然的回调目前支持95,000美元的心理水平,导致市场清算超过2亿美元。
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随着比特币恢复到95,000美元的十字路口,大规模崩溃的担忧正在出现在图表上。 BTC价格会无法持有其看涨势头,还是这是购买蘸酱的理想时机?3 T! L3 S' G- t/ A: i) ]% `
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比特币价格分析揭示了手头的重新测试
9 W( o$ A2 y* a0 I' w9 A- D! T在每日价格图表上,比特币显示未能达到50%的斐波那契水平,为98,949美元,从而使上布林乐队近98,200美元迅速逆转,形成了一个晚上的明星图案。
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+ o* x' S8 f' } L# y比特币价格图
+ v" F! w" t- J/ m, Q4 Q5 o& l% V由于快速回调达到了38.20%的水平,接近$ 97,000,BTC已重新测试了95,000美元的水平。比特币略高于斐波那契水平的23.60%,现在在下Bollinger频段附近合并。0 [) i& M! n9 }" d# V I2 R. [
4 [" V P! x: g快速倒台是由于最近破裂的阻力趋势线的潜在重新降临。但是,强度警告比特币公牛极滑的坡度。' M: @$ @( e( Z' t; O& M
2 h& V( O. V9 W9 [ n( G J低于23.60%的斐波那契水平的接近可能会使BTC价格的可能性降至90,000美元。另一方面,恢复的机会是通过SMI Ergodic指标指示的。+ o, j% E6 S* A3 _
+ k( I7 d9 s7 G* D0 _9 a1 R) y, c该指标在SMI线上的看涨差异也暗示了潜在的看涨跨界。此外,在显着浸入负区域后,SMI线在零线附近波动。) s- ~, R* O( {) G' K/ V
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这反映了看涨力量的显着恢复,并表示潜在的反弹。
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ETF流出和市场情绪, c( M9 }) g7 d+ C% z
随着比特币跌至关键的支持水平,美国比特币点ETF记录了每日净流出。 2月11日,比特币景点ETF流失了5676万美元,有5个ETF在市场上卸载。
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BTC ETF
2 o4 ?: {' f" a s+ D1 t" P" P唯一的购买者是贝莱德,每日净流入2380万美元。这将使贝莱克(Blackrock)自成立以来的累积净流入至408.7亿美元,净资产总计为558.3亿美元。/ C2 P* D7 Z& v- q/ J. @$ Q
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卖家包括WisdomTree,Bitwise,Invesco,Franklin和Fidelity。富达是当天最大的卖家,流出了4,360万美元,而富兰克林出售了价值1103万美元的比特币。
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' m" W9 {7 c) S+ |6 Y' `; ^其余三个流出的ETF倾倒了不到1000万美元。同时,美国市场的其他六个比特币ETF记录了净零外流。# {$ W1 h3 E0 _
0 m, V' @* K: k, v9 u/ N. R衍生品市场和看涨猜测
8 F' |8 W2 |, n& c5 ?. z8 T! r在最近的回调之后,短期合并增加了比特币衍生物的看涨猜测。 BTC长/短比图表显示了看涨位置的显着峰值。
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& P8 F1 {: u8 ?5 u4 S3 L5 k/ y这比率从0.9135增加到1.1973,表明54.49%的位置长。同时,短职位已降至45.51%。
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3 `4 l; V, l1 k2 S* U* F: j2 z此外,尽管BTC价格最近下跌,但比特币OI加权筹资率仍然显着积极。目前的筹资率为0.0072%,反映了比特币交易者通过支付额外的保费来保持长期职位的乐观。
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比特币融资率
. s, ]% h7 Y& gBTC价格目标:$ 99K或$ 90K接下来?
' h1 Y2 |9 X0 t- @鉴于比特币交易员和技术信号的看涨前景,买家可能会重新获得控制权,有可能将比特币恢复到99,000美元的斐波那契水平上的50%。
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! ]$ ?! Q3 T" R" M另一方面,如果比特币关闭低于$ 94,633,那么进一步下降的可能性仍然很大。在这种看跌的情况下,比特币的价格可能会重新审视90,000美元的水平。
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