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[天策嗨聊] 非农就业爆冷!比特币冲高回落71,500美元,降息预期火速升温!
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1#

美国10月的非农就业数据简直给市场来了个“大惊喜”:新增就业人数仅1.2万人,创下自疫情以来的新低,远低于市场预期的10.6万人。这一出人意料的“就业大降温”让美股和比特币双双迎来上涨。

根据美国劳工统计局的数据,10月失业率仍然保持在4.1%,与市场预期一致,但新增就业人数却因为飓风和罢工影响而急剧放缓。三大评级机构之一的惠誉认为,如果把罢工导致的4.4万人的影响加回来,实际新增就业人数应在11.9万人左右。相较今年上半年月均20.7万人的水平,虽然放缓了,但还算不上“冰点”。

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重点是:由于就业数据疲软,市场开始猜测美联储可能会考虑在11月降息。芝商所的Fed Watch工具数据显示,市场普遍认为本月降息1码的概率已经高达98.2%,几乎无人预计美联储会按兵不动。高盛也指出,尽管就业数据有所波动,但美联储可能会归咎于偶发因素而继续宽松政策


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受到这一疲软就业数据的影响,美股四大指数迎来上涨:道琼斯工业平均指数上涨1.11%,收报42,231.79点;标普500指数上涨1.07%,收报5,766.80点;纳斯达克指数上扬1.39%,报18,345.96点;费城半导体指数劲扬2.02%,报5,046.93点。


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在加密市场,比特币也顺势跟涨,一度突破71,000美元,最高来到71,598美元,随后回调至68,773美元附近。比特币近24小时内涨幅接近4%,呈现“倒V”形态的快速波动,引爆了市场的多空双向爆仓,全网爆仓规模达8亿美元以上,带动了加密货币市场的普涨行情。本次“就业冷风”刮来的经济反应似乎点燃了市场的乐观情绪,而投资者也在观望着美联储的下步动作。


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最后,大家可知道坚持上论坛打卡签到可是有美滋滋的奖励哟,那就是每日签到,可获得1个经验的奖励;连续签到30天,可获得200活跃币奖励;连续签到365天,可获得365活跃币奖励还等什么?搬砖搬起来咯,要赚活跃币靠自己啦~


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传送门天策小课堂(12)——如何签到?签到有什么奖励?

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2#
毕竟突破过73500 相信现在68000回调后会来中期盘整再蓄力一次 12月也算是交易员们的假期交易流动性会慢一些
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3#
      任何市场都是被庄家控制而炒作的,特别是这个世界上最“自由的”币圈,数据什么的就是拿来利用的题材罢了!3 x, ]5 i1 F  _, \; t
      和股票、期货市场一样,币圈也不过是又一个复制的同类而已。在这样的市场中,每天甚至每时每刻都要有题材被利用的,否则庄家们怎么玩?# l2 t4 f: O1 o, B# L
      比特币是一个特殊的“品种”,庄家的炒作手法与传统的手法大同小异,玩过股票的人都懂的,不必多说。我想说的就是,比特币的炒作方法虽然不特殊,但是它的风险可是大的了不得,毕竟它可是有点游走在法律之外的模式,非常的不同反响……' d5 r' x( @* r; V7 z: @! i% t
      所以啊,什么数据不数据的,不要太当真。如果你没有财力、没有气魄、没有得到消息源的本事,虽然这个市场机会很大,可是风险更是同样的大,我们还是离这个市场远点为好!这就是我的感觉和建议!
. u2 B- o. ]) i      当心被人牵着鼻子走!
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4#
比特币这一波 最高都 72000多了。 差点 冲到 75000
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5#
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丑国也难搞,降息吧,通胀更厉害,不降吧,各种数据不理想(虽然可以手动作弊),好像是这样吧,看的多我也记不太住。还说对华加收高价关税,通胀起飞吧等着,世界大乱局好看过连续剧了
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