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[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币:为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势(转) 1768309639 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元! 若贺锦丽胜选,BTC恐回测四万支撑位(转)
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伯恩斯坦分析师表示,尽管比特币长期看涨,但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势,若川普胜选,比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元;若贺锦丽获胜,比特币可能将下跌,并测试40,000 美元支撑位。
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备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时,华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)分析师近期也再度重申表示,从长期来看,无论大选结果如何,在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下,比特币都将向好发展。, y( @: K0 ]( N* f# b( D) @
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贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元
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& O1 L5 S; f* P不过,伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看,如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜,短期内市场可能将受到打击,比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位:( G( }: Y8 l0 Q5 z2 Z" o3 Y
& y8 x5 R$ c4 R( j6 ]1 p; h7 F! J, Z如果贺锦丽获胜,在短期内,我们预计比特币将下跌,并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。$ g) H9 U0 O& O4 ]
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选,将更有助于比特币上涨,BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元:
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川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响,在川普获胜的情况下,我们预计比特币将再创历史新高,达到80,000 或90,000 美元。( E3 f- }' |: \4 s4 g9 H$ Y0 V
山寨币在选举前将保持震荡; H+ r7 p: D5 ~+ Z3 n$ j: e. p
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同时,伯恩斯坦分析师还预计,包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币,在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡,因为除了选举结果外,山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。
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2 B+ r" u8 ~4 }' ^8 l8 r* I比特币下杀6 万大关
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而在加密货币市场方面,尽管稍早美股收涨,但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑,今(10)晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。3 ^5 Y- L8 ~: P% @
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元,近24 小时下跌2.73%,能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。
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川普胜率达到53.2%9 a4 A& \: t; z0 ^4 g
% x+ E$ m. I: s6 R# `. G, S据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示,市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离,为53.2%,贺锦丽只有46.2%。但民调结果本来就常有波动,请谨慎判断。
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