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[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币：为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势（转） 1768309639 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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$ E2 X$ R) `% u研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所* S* [' @+ G* A( `$ E6 L! h
2 \; D3 T: }* I3 a5 Z0 W获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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$ ?5 S2 ?3 g ?3 q7 WKaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在6 ?& |" D4 o4 e0 s
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代
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币待分配。' ]1 Z1 h- C# x. y- v. k
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们& S2 u8 K' x+ ^. ~
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。( B8 t7 E& G3 Y( \! C
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流动性减弱% D4 W" o1 R0 U3 T! X: m
t c, a: H+ T9 c6 \" W+ ]+ V" V除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大& E+ s* n" ^( n4 G4 q$ j
. ]& v( i' ]$ A! K) P3 [; s约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在2 F# c# U% [6 j8 h5 l
/ a- a, B1 y6 p报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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