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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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2 x7 t# K( [+ t# V2 H8 D6 f 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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+ l$ X) Y# k5 }" l& b研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所* i& W4 ^5 S8 Z1 _
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。* E" ?' i6 E, d, a5 S8 j* V
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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9 o! E5 P# Y: b3 i, H刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代7 z3 K8 h+ {$ ]* ^8 Y& {2 X
9 `2 A3 n# ?! n: _" X g. e1 |币待分配。 o/ S z7 K. i1 h8 j
* }' n; z. Q" v! t/ d6 Z0 i X“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们0 ]6 z" U* A' R& r" j* @& O
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补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。6 q7 _# n5 V4 }
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流动性减弱1 l. {$ K* |# r) Q
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大9 z; k4 {& j& [7 c: J5 H$ ~ x
* e9 b# c6 x$ @7 T9 J约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。/ u8 N' G- D* @* h
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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2 p! e9 u" ^/ c% M1 t报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。8 a r" E" B# C
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