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加密货币研究机构K33 Research称,一个来自比特币衍生品市场的信号表明,发生“逼空” —— 这可能引发这一全球最大数字资产大涨 —— 的风险逐渐上升。: W7 t9 k9 X9 o7 v+ l ^7 ]
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这项指标就是比特币永续期货(有助于衡量投机者的看涨或看跌程度)的融资利率。K33表示,在8月20日,7天平均年化融资利率为2023年3月美国一串银行% o1 {4 Z( b+ F0 u ]
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倒闭惊到投资者以来的最低水平,表明看跌押注盛行。6 [" H# E. V3 T% t& c
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K33分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在报告中写道,过去一周永续掉期融资利率均值为负,而未平仓合约急剧增加。“这意味着投资者大举做空,从结构9 r, P; _# _7 [' r2 ~! h
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上为逼空创造了一个成熟的环境。”; E1 Y: H, M* r' d# R2 }
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( z# H0 Z! z" x2 A, j5 f/ y7 v 在逼空情景中,价格意外上涨会迫使短线交易员结清空头头寸,从而进一步推动反弹。比特币市场情绪近来一直很低迷:这种数字资产8月下跌并难以保持2 P& D4 U; G* Z$ x- V& D: Q
4 O f3 M5 y! T6 P; l4 g5 O( m9 _在60,000美元以上。与此同时,一项全球股票指数迈向纪录高位,黄金价格已经创下新高。# i, h2 {# E( @6 c
. f: A* y6 `' g. [5 \" y K33表示,永续市场的名义未平仓合约在过去一周的增幅合29,000个比特币左右。8月20日的7天平均年化资金利率为-2.5%。Lunde和Zimmerman表示,; i( j% F U/ K/ p7 L' w8 Q* X( w7 n
0 f; C8 Z: B9 e( `5 |+ w: a在融资利率为负的同时未平仓合约增长得如此迅猛,是相对罕见的。
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永续期货由于没有固定的到期日而受到加密货币投机者的欢迎。在更传统的芝商所比特币期货市场,交易活动也持续攀升,这可能表明美国机构投资者
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) f: H6 ^& H6 K8 U! j! n重新参与到市场中了。4 W+ F, J4 o5 b! G& o% N
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这个倒也是可以去了解下看看了啊。 |
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