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[lastpost] => 2774981 比特币跌破 STH 成本基础 – 为什么这可能是买入信号？（转） 1762622696 小作文
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当前离线
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2024年比特币将迎来三重利好：减半、比特币生态崛起、美联储降息预期。, g0 f% q4 ]! T, b, L. J
6 Q V2 p4 z% G1）比特币miner reward每4年发生一次减半，前三次减半的半年时间里，比特! C. v# v5 R5 g5 S3 s' \/ w
7 ?4 q2 j b P0 b
币币价都显著增长，预计今年4月将迎来第4次减半。
3 `" l4 q* y* {3 W
4 j5 Z$ p% c$ G& _+ U8 S- \2）2022年12月Ordinals（一种基于比特币的数字内容编码方式）推出后，Ordinals* n% Y* g9 I/ p+ B
. S: Y, e- r& L- G& Q# C- z用户群激增，链上无数新老协议层出不穷，带动了比特币生态的强势发展，也推动
S& ?: i8 U, z4 J$ _ \0 E; F$ u1 F8 V5 h2 e w9 \. ^5 F: J
比特币链上手续费6年以来首次超过了以太坊。
3 Y2 T6 [) I" R- v1 Q/ ^) [$ L1 k( C
' M3 y; s/ I- v: S2 d% J$ i+ w3）FED Reserve Board成员预计，2024年美国实际GDP增速或为1.4%、联邦基金
7 [' S# l3 c. i- N2 u6 b$ g! _2 C) d) ?- H: @
利率或为4.6%（2023年为5.4%）。降息或引发美元供应量增长、美元贬值，比特) S8 {; M8 V M$ I& s
8 \7 d( Y1 R: G$ n2 `
币因其抗通胀效果或迎来更多需求。
" [) P" I/ o2 w( @. }比特币现货ETF获批也对海外相关上市公司股价产生影响，主要为挖矿企业、交易平2 m+ E+ n; v$ p& s! r5 u
& n/ U- I/ m) S" e台和持币企业。挖矿企业的商业模式可以总结为“前期投入-后期收割”，随着比特币$ e# j8 Q' V, C$ u
! R+ c- w( ]& X$ G2 V& A- P7 i生态完善和交易量增长，前期投入逐步摊薄，而后期收益或稳定增长；交易平台收
% b9 r) k6 b: d" y2 `+ o% v' u. N
- T3 L' j: g% ~2 B7 B入来自交易佣金，具有“卖水人”特点，头部交易平台凭借规模优势建立竞争壁垒；4 K" _- M8 X6 ~) @. M
, c1 F9 n# n; v: ?* `持币公司早期以相对较低的成本购入大量比特币，享受资本利得。; v) f0 B2 Q3 g9 L# t f$ C
+ c7 y3 U) T5 U S, M
4 k/ Q( v7 M+ B! O% i |
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这个交易平台挺好用，反正吧都是需要谨慎安全第一啊！ |
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三重利好的可是有今年的啊
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