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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四& z9 |7 j& `9 e, d* b. b- n- x/ |
o& D% w; X/ b N: s正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置9 M& \9 K. M. x+ `0 c2 b
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比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公8 S F* r$ x9 p. ^: M! }, C, `6 B, u
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司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
! U$ D! C* z# r9 E7 A9 J/ ^9 v$ s Z在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
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特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。) |0 y0 [, l) g# W( @; x
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，, R+ b# {3 u: c# y6 l
$ j8 I8 a. E" X5 }
并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。) g/ W) `2 G5 C; c0 q' \
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“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特& S- M, a8 ~/ @3 N0 E. D3 H
4 i _4 t6 |: q( z- F6 O$ ^币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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) N' z% [8 P7 \7 f& @格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。- s. Y/ N' d; P1 g% l' L6 ~. \& `
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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A! \( o9 V6 Q6 B( a力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，. v Q! c" a* t3 a; ]# s
" x/ F M+ E, T6 ?2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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1 m* H8 l; o6 [8 C自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到; n# {9 l O8 K6 R. h- z
: p; g1 y* b0 R% K" K63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
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1 c7 B0 m( E( o2 z# s" q1 D, z“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下3 N4 a3 y: w- s& d1 {0 p
7 I1 V& w$ P1 F. @# B( K/ \/ ]" ?降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
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6 b' Q7 Y) p* t- |" u5 [4 T会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。! y' \6 n i! E+ V2 m! M1 Z1 F
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