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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四8 m* i, f/ ?' @1 M( a
2 ^# i1 v( F r正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
! Z/ C5 T u Y' @+ f! I' X# ]! d- j4 l7 E7 ^
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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! R: m8 ~- D( c: l司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
7 }- U( D% r- H0 l, I在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
( ~4 ?6 ^* V4 Y2 @: y- r# }6 b; C/ U, U4 \4 b( g0 d
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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: j I; U, Y: q(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
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* a: q4 J# q" H8 o8 X+ x 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货# g) U' P, u4 c* k G" c
( x u+ M% O# s& I' M* e8 E
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，' K5 G0 M `4 j
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。2 r7 |: X* U9 v1 E; u5 }, }
5 v1 W! a% w' D, ?“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
3 N' u/ q' q/ a7 C6 i7 c) R1 `. P% W/ C. c. r- f V- h) {
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价# f. t' z% D, d4 X/ t/ i% [5 I
7 {6 Q) A6 y$ r/ J6 F: F格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。; ?% g2 h! w3 ^4 R2 h
( B' a& o' C4 s, ]# g# Y在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
6 O4 T( w {3 U! Q
1 k, k+ S8 e6 \2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。9 J7 c0 Q; z( C0 S! h
6 \- o' F; i" O0 ]6 u自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到+ z! U1 _% p0 ]0 X9 g! y& Y
/ C- W) U$ Y' ^% A
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。0 r' e. H6 ^0 [8 u6 {; y( _
) C& A" a% V. p' K0 q“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
. o1 B( s9 B. X) `
" `2 f0 m8 q6 ^6 y( X' J) e" N m降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
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会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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) y& K9 s. O6 V/ ?4 I0 }8 m$ ^; i, \4 z+ M( d
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