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美国证券交易委员会(SEC)昨日批准11档比特币现货ETF，包括灰度的GBTC转比特币现! x1 G- `5 i, h/ z$ P& I
货ETF申请，并于昨晚正式开始交易，首日比特币现货ETF总交易量突破46亿美元，其中GBTC交易量最高，达3 W: ~/ j$ V: }. V1 k
23.2亿美，占比将近一半。. W7 _/ a' ]4 i, T" d
彭博分析师James Seyffart认为，这一交易量中，有很大一部分是在出售灰度的GBTC，并购买其他ETF，至于出* h- G2 w6 i3 Q x$ _
售的原因，推测与长期以来的负溢价消失，用户获利了结、或是认为GBTC管理费太高想转换有关，也就是说不一
9 Q b2 E. `# H ?( W% S/ c8 L定全是新资金流入。
' \( I& h$ S$ gGBTC负溢价收窄至趋近于零* E+ \' @2 S6 F3 X' }2 n) |( L
值得注意的是，随着GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批，YCharts数据显示，GBTC相对资产净值(NAV)的折价已缩: J6 j- l# q, N; x( ~
窄趋近于零%，创下自2021年2月以来首次，至截稿前报–1.9%。2 d" ?2 m4 y; U# C5 ?: I
自2021年2月以来，GBTC价格一直低于其持有的比特币价值，并在2022年12月创下历史新低，达到近50%的负
+ t4 ]" `. _2 {( {# [ [溢价，不过随着去年夏季灰度赢得对SEC的诉讼，使GBTC转比特币现货ETF申请获批重燃希望，GBTC负溢价开始
, m# Y4 E- N3 h. |% S大幅缩窄。
- S5 W! M8 u; @( R w3 FCoindesk报导，FundStrat的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell表示，GBTC趋近于NAV，是加密货币领域的一大解7 j5 b( F4 a$ k {
脱，也是加密货币产业迈入新成熟阶段的象征，GBTC由于明显的原因，在过去几年来，给市场带来了很多不必要
: I3 m2 n) {% E+ M& ^% {% U W3 j的痛苦。5 ~( @ P l9 H% I- _8 W8 X
此前出现折价的原因，与该基金性质有关，GBTC运作方式类似封闭式基金，这代表GBTC缺乏固有的套利机制，
* W8 Y4 v! P) E" u1 c; z+ f/ G无法让做市商自行申购或赎回股份，Sean Farrell指出：比特币一直存在于此信托中，但缺乏赎回机制，导致其相
. Q% m Y" R- ~0 \7 N& x对于基础资产价值大幅折价，最重要的是，这伤害了许多个人投资者，原因是其表现低于基准，此外，还导致大4 m) P; ~6 X) O' i' g' L ?
规模信贷崩溃，原因是此产品在整个加密货币领域被用作抵押品。
% c' H7 R, n" {0 F# W6 N6 o未来溢价/折价将极小6 E% [3 i# [, G( L2 |7 m/ h
GSR加密货币研究分析师Matt Kunke表示，GBTC在过去，流动性只有在二级市场的场外交易，但如今GBTC已转
+ Z& X; z9 l; Y换为现货ETF，授权参与者能依照资产净值申购和赎回ETF份额，进而将ETF市场价格与其资产价值挂钩：因此，; l; M/ v: L3 z
未来溢价/折价可能只会有几个基点的变动。# [! r) _( p( n& f" J
展望未来，Sean Farrell认为，鉴于以太坊现货ETF接下来可望也获得SEC批准上市，灰度以太坊信托(ETHE)申请
5 r. J' F$ C% Z* P7 A" ?可能过关，观察ETHE的负溢价(目前-11.48%)接下来将如何变化，将是一件有趣的事情。2 S( q% f1 H" H1 B- a/ F8 _6 b+ o$ y
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