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[虚拟币交流]
中本聪神预测？比特币现货ETF通过与15年前首笔交易同一天（11日转）
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& \8 l. k ]: S1 c( h; M* e：加密货币市场今天迎来了一个里程碑事件！总市值占比超过一半的比特币，其合规金融
1 V7 e. v9 V0 B% P: ?9 k0 v产品「现货ETF」终于获得了美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的正式批准，全部11档比特币现货ETF申请全数通过。这7 E0 L% ]' M2 C1 s1 `+ m
意味着机构投资者可以在美国合法交易比特币现货ETF，同时也为散户投资者提供了在合规的交易所投资比特币的" f' J6 o- W( l+ C
途径。
. o) ^3 y/ a, q9 c: J" n8 f/ e这些ETF中，有六档将在芝加哥期权交易所(CBOE)上市，三档在纽约证券交易所(NYSE)上市，其余两档将在纳斯
- {6 x+ p" x0 A" d" S8 s& i0 k& `) E$ Y达克上市。
8 i. w! ]% I2 q7 D) S15年前首次出现比特币推文庆祝首笔交易
2 o1 H4 i- G7 E; B值得一提的是，今天也是比特币历史上具有重要意义的一天。15年前，比特币的早期开发者哈尔·芬尼(Hal' ]* M2 t8 o% v/ U5 R
Finney)在X上发布了关于比特币的第一条推文「Running bitcoin」，标志着比特币交易的开始。
' E5 ?( L( k% N: b2 b8 L' f当时，比特币的创始人中本聪转账给了芬尼10枚比特币，使他成为世界上第一个通过交易获得比特币的人。) a0 D' E3 v8 x) ?
比特币的第一个区块于2009年1月3日由中本聪挖出，上周三1月3日是比特币诞生15周年纪念日。中本聪在区块
, ~& x( x* p% l4 t8 e' j中留下的一条消息：The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks(泰晤士报当天
/ }. l. v6 N' B: O; |. S0 v的头版标题：财政大臣正站在第二轮救助银行业的边缘)，象征着比特币的去中心化初衷。这至今仍深刻的烙印在9 N* C6 b9 o! u Y5 _* F
每个人的心中。
: m7 V& A+ A: m比特币仍是高波动商品吗？; Q* V7 A3 D8 j) r/ i# I! b" X
15年过去，加密货币市场环境已与过往大不相同，没有人会再争论比特币是否会是下一个荷兰郁金香，且比特币, d' g- p4 r/ i1 T1 k; w
高波动的特性也出现了转变。# i4 j+ W9 \2 N( r: R2 E6 A% x+ d! t
21co(与方舟投资共同推出比特币现货ETF的21Shares旗下子公司)副总裁近日指出，去年是自2014年以来首次比) N" i& G+ N' t7 W+ M% b2 D
特币未出现单日超过10%的回调。过去10年中，超过20%的大跌发生了2次，而超过10%的跌幅发生了43次，机% q6 v0 B$ L% I
率不到1.3%。
c+ x% |1 }: k7 i6 W: z; G# i对此，21co的研究员TomWan指出，随着时间推移，比特币的波动性也逐渐降低。+ [2 [$ v8 @2 y9 Y- D- T6 f0 R4 w
不论是比特币现货ETF在美国的成功推出，还是比特币波动度的下降，都显示出加密货币市场正逐渐走向成熟。
5 `7 r( z7 x# `& b% H9 x) y2 g" L* k+ j* n. |9 u) _
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