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[lastpost] => 2812426 XRP加密货币病毒式价格预测遭遇分析师质疑——三位数目标价引发担忧的原因如下（转） 1772876946 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。 M7 X% a: Y4 b5 B( |; x
3 ]8 J/ [) r# ~! O过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。, X( [, ?. f; }5 X( Z
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当% \( d: B6 S2 u: I& u- ]
$ P. F% e+ S' z4 x天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场7 G. n. c, K) Q, W( o
+ o1 Q3 X/ p) }8 \. T s处于健康的看涨状态。
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AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
_, X% o$ l* I# c
/ `* J+ S6 g- v! s Y9 j; b! e短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF2 C W$ k' @ ?3 b, q
3 _! _! `" D( {6 U) E6 l
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
. t# |+ H9 c% S- {1 P% p, Y, c& h# Z' G9 a) j
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，1 Y8 l) q% s0 V/ y9 j
* A. y$ o- Y* Q( j) G+ w5 c9 e, V' XCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提9 w& V, J+ r0 l8 I# E
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及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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2 j: L# \3 S$ m, E其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较8 T( G+ y' o9 T- ?- Y
% A& \1 ?6 K/ n9 ~. ?1 \2 B- w
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强! e8 z2 q! G4 E% B; k& _: W6 F- ~5 `
7 I- h# P+ b8 P$ ]' m1 t) i# [
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。- p! p- W, j, g
* x2 T/ g( G; x! p: Y8 T然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF* d# ~) {/ C9 }: P, O
. c" R( u" K* ~5 q! g申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
9 r6 {4 {: d& q9 V1 b( i0 }6 V/ V
9 H0 {2 O/ d: l. ^9 b虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
9 C; p9 U+ R% D3 m- @+ a
5 i. y9 c! h0 x: Y( tNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
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! K# D: Q# f0 r2 [绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法
& z$ M/ S) Y5 Z- S/ u- W! \7 x! w' Q' M) o- k t3 T
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
! u/ D: j9 f ~# W* G- V8 M4 n+ P" j7 u
9 t6 M) f9 f. r) Q因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的+ I+ v* N/ e; l. [/ m
1 O0 z, D6 Q4 D( z' K3 ]. o2 W关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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