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[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币：为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势（转） 1768304877 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。* m5 {( E4 y9 d& h2 d3 `0 @9 E
& n3 R% R# b) h- Y# T# [& i过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。 G! \( A9 a* s) D8 n4 ~
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当1 L; U/ N/ g( T6 K) D' A O
3 Y& b' f# k' f& K9 M1 r( n2 S天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场+ [: }8 E/ m3 V, A: B. N9 I
0 t9 h5 B! Y) S
处于健康的看涨状态。; e( e. ?# U2 @9 W
! w! m/ Y! _9 y& s( VAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬1 q" m8 ?1 Y @8 m: z- L/ {- @
# k, E7 z4 m; ^* q, E5 ]短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF6 z& ~7 a, D6 t+ e
2 n3 d- |7 T5 z! x: a. o6 o2 X获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。( {6 }+ V- r: n$ ]; U" J( I
' X8 |- h; W! z) {8 t( B8 B& V N
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
& Q- |- ~. G7 f6 n8 q" D; T7 T ]' d* C
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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- c" E0 t! s5 L2 O! s+ P+ h8 a及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。, q2 C6 c/ t" V0 |. h$ h
1 M `5 C3 v) K: }, q+ w其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较$ z: ~+ C& b( A0 d) `0 R
' {3 `: ^- a& Z! d
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
0 ^8 {6 j* p4 Z# t; o' c( p$ V7 {( N. `" l5 u6 }1 k; o3 \
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
9 C* Z. E0 M) \; Y( h! A% O* z
1 F$ X- V0 F" n/ I9 F6 Z: L! G5 B然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
# z4 |, F! D* N& g" O. N
7 x4 v/ J( H# x+ O" ^, F4 q申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。 T: k5 w9 {; n2 V
* L2 x* M, T9 Q. J& q6 M虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币: c9 W/ n6 P1 n# {+ m) F, a8 W
8 Q: b8 q/ w0 D- m8 K0 j! O8 c) |NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不* W8 K T3 o- T x4 l, K6 J
' O6 l6 d0 c$ O! ?9 o
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法8 s% U) `8 o, D: ^
2 Z# I& Q2 G- k: {, _. M继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。3 o3 [( k: D% `. L* k
7 Q+ B6 V' [2 {8 ~! i# f. o5 ^4 u: A1 I
% U0 {+ F2 t% e$ h3 S+ ]& r因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的5 T0 O; D+ y* ]" }5 v$ \8 V
2 v) v( c- S" _0 c
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
1 l7 O9 x" y0 Z4 I
9 v. r: S0 k! W+ @
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