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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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5 F% i0 X P2 e& q5 V( w* L
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
) M) ?1 v8 f2 D z+ p2 x/ L% w2 w; }0 g中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。* A: ~ m C. P0 e5 f
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
/ p5 {- p$ y+ e! |/ B官员预计：2024将降息3次
* v* R) q8 U ~4 I2 P% m虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季: e) d0 G/ n& M6 C3 S
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
9 C: l: k/ D! E, [' v已经开始讨论降息的时机。# |" z$ V. U1 M3 S0 s. F8 r
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
& d. p" K m/ Y9 O. l2 u走高。
( D9 _* S8 @6 F且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓, j" f' r5 }+ b6 o# G
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
+ P; v; {8 I5 i0 v比特币冲破4.3万
2 u4 B3 E7 d1 y5 l0 H E& d受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。( A) a/ D# b" `. {( N
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。5 U- O T& Q6 I
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
, o7 n, [ O0 A5 T0 i3 M* e& B美股四大指数齐扬) V4 O( d& H% a: `; r4 Y
回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
+ @. a) v( T+ A. Y7 O P5 W9 g道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点- u) a$ c8 w3 e/ a/ _
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
" k' e, d! X7 d6 m3 D标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点$ t2 R" l7 K6 M
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点$ d5 A% I! x6 u9 @ E! m8 \$ y
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
4 G9 d$ X, j4 }9 w8 D/ D4 F另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。; g. Q8 M1 h/ J% x" ]; u
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
N" P- q& \1 X# d/ N跌到更接近3%水平。1 N; X) A. B0 E& ~7 @) R" S
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