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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，9 N8 f! [, c# V3 }* }
. s! _* P$ z% L比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
) ?7 i2 Z' D3 t! C5 F/ ~/ G0 r- B我们认为至少有以下几个原因：5 [/ Z4 Q- T# z6 | r: ?
3 I+ J# j) Q: w# R! a1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在- ?8 Q1 `: n b( [& r& q
" M4 C& X2 y+ q
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
5 O( s ^" s, v+ E* e/ R
1 m$ S# ~. M8 F; X \4 ] _* y$ H中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
/ c" R; t9 C( J) I5 [6 K+ H5 {8 Q7 z0 k' x! w7 f+ u. N X6 h. s
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
* g6 r% |% `! i6 R: { _2 J
. O7 ~8 i5 v) V% S5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
$ j c9 s; N/ k" l1 \: x# {8 h7 {
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
- U. V, E D: i7 D8 z; `8 r! c
- N8 @* @2 Y- @- j, C' o1 VETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
9 {6 g# C0 J& d, y4 q' H
8 k9 O6 Y; T# a: t# x1 x, r& i1 D5 Z美金）。
" H; h/ A5 L4 c7 f. t- N. y! d# E
7 w+ o8 H0 g1 }% H2 x; Y' L Y5 Q0 t+ B0 L! D1 C' ?& r: M9 f- i. b
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态6 r: A& B" H, K% d1 \/ Y! i" @8 ?* A
* k, i1 I( s9 l. Q }- _比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去6 K4 p6 z4 p( G. H, b6 @
7 R& y/ P9 |8 y9 y. J9 q
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
; D7 n* F/ _, F W# x
: z1 v4 j7 N3 I3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户9 U) b$ r' U) N% O- @" c
& Z8 W5 ]. n* N* r
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
/ i2 {* _8 F. F+ V. B" I
2 d. J! [; K8 R d# \2 @/ c4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
: N+ [. n$ K* _' D
1 X) K! H# M: x$ [6 s0 v约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如# ?, ?9 ]9 r( Q# n; ]: x
Q* @4 v8 I0 D: D果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美5 |! P% e/ F* D. E: I; I- a
Q% b0 W0 o# ~; W
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。- U0 P" \$ ?2 _# b9 m3 f; S( X; w% t
& Z" D. i2 i1 L4 r* m9 {7 t. Z* d
/ T2 Y7 ^' C8 C$ ]
% c5 i C' m" a, P! R6 L. h |
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