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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
2 C* w3 Y% H0 l
5 j5 m, \6 }0 [比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
- t8 I6 D- d1 j; w& ~% j我们认为至少有以下几个原因：5 O4 [( z) b. n7 m" H, k9 L* w
# u1 N u4 V* k5 T7 {3 ?1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在: ~, @) L/ m! C+ t y& @. G$ L
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
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1 C% A) h( A/ _: x2 O9 x中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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1 ]3 n: l; a8 n: `# o去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长" f: R* I" ?& p7 `0 A
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5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
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8 P4 E. ]- P# [0 s: d( B/ ZETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
: ~; S5 `' L8 r$ Q+ E6 w
1 t- d8 e& W9 |& Z& B美金）。0 ^* f; ^, h+ F- t" B# S: k
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( P% e/ _% y% c. Z3 `5 E2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
% `( n" U/ n: B3 v" z. V9 W1 w8 ]/ c1 y' u4 E
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
k+ {0 T {; i
; i8 v, C% O' T; n1 ^构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。/ P/ r: Y* g* T/ _* c& C1 d( T
" D% Z4 r# s( N" @( u
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
$ h/ }7 c4 g% O5 P6 d5 h2 D/ ~1 {0 k8 g- @% u! n. L+ K
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。: E- M" a/ p6 e3 u6 r
. N% ]* r( b$ ~
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL6 f/ x& g! f# N) b- n+ C% |
" l; d, |5 T3 c& l! T) i
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
( i7 r6 B" m( t: F$ i" j8 l# s7 ^) j
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
# A3 o+ Y6 @- C4 G2 W0 M+ i7 z6 g9 i4 i
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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" ^) O' g5 g/ ]) X: F8 l* Q* o
) @) u4 T" h, y1 r5 u; v" S* B |
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