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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
5 |' M* z+ `/ Z/ [ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？1 h" W, u' v% B8 z; N$ i
什么是ISDA？! b, {$ \& V3 z* C/ f
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
|; {+ b* s2 a% }8 f营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约8 J# w' i! t3 P2 p4 ~
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
* R' d; |# f# d" m* U& i: H双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市6 z+ _& z" A+ i2 u
场的正常发展。5 l! ]3 S# P: d# J0 U& x1 U
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
; Q4 ]! L) a' k! @! d! _进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和8 [* }4 i" M0 e# }' c' k. h
Digital Asset。/ L: m0 R+ s: L4 o
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
% ]: y9 z4 g$ ?+ ~: PDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
1 E* v2 I4 ]- o* ^: N响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
" m6 X; F5 y ~- z% P. Z; \根据其推论：" _$ m' E/ t; {' g8 J# H$ @1 |
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元9 I! P8 h" ~/ _6 i/ g N& V
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
1 a8 M7 z' W w% jXRP目前总市值为349亿美元; B5 ?6 I) j4 D7 G5 t) f% [1 e
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元( y. l( k4 W+ W4 F5 {$ E
而XRP目前币价为0.661742" J# k. i9 Z6 p+ o0 X0 W
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
$ Z8 R- {1 H( g* f挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？1 }- L& c1 Q* M2 C6 G9 x5 v
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
' A# g7 F: c. K9 ?' C# o也未有极大的波动。# Q. O3 _; E, T a
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生- _ E* ? e/ }+ a0 Z$ I
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这9 |4 g5 B# ]- X
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢7 v5 a4 _* H; b
引导传统金融的采用呢？
; t5 a/ B; J) J) T. f* D9 G* K8 F% R* ~: @9 r. C7 M% i/ ]2 n
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