Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 19516
[posts] => 277876
[todayposts] => 580
[yesterdayposts] => 302
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2644595 比特币减半深度解析:对投资者影响的全面评估(转) 1714053257 舞出精彩
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1324 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
: ~$ F4 p9 n" A1 Q6 w! @' e
- E7 A+ n1 J9 P5 X) N3 Q
: Q& v7 U9 a" c1 x/ j干货——BTC挖矿电费成本到底是多少?" c# a/ ~ M2 w$ s8 ~' N% o; Z5 t
很多人预言BTC在熊市不会跌破主流矿机的挖矿电费成本,包括著名BTC投资人李笑来。为什么这么说?可能有几方面原因:一是从历史经验来看,BTC确实没有跌破过主流电费成本。二是有一个逻辑就是,如果BTC价格一直跌,跌破主流矿机的挖矿成本,那么这些大矿场就会直接购买btc,这样对价格有一个支撑作用。那么既然明确了价格与挖矿成本存在这么一个关系,我们可以试着探讨电费成本问题。- a) ^. z1 Z/ a$ Y+ f8 c
9 a3 N/ _- B- _
一、要确定电费成本,首先要大致预估挖矿难度的变化值,这样可以基本确定挖矿需要的电力。因为在相同电价的条件下,电费成本主要由挖矿难度决定。
, B+ J( N( K5 Z# U. u& g- `BTC历史挖矿难度变动情况:
, ~+ I1 \3 M0 F7 k, ~ y" n+ k图片:不会贴图不会贴图不会贴图7 t3 }4 d6 }& s' T4 b# u2 R! i
5 b4 V6 @- ~% T/ m* b0 L' X很多人觉得熊市挖矿难度也会同步下降,但是sorry,即使在2018年这么大熊市,挖矿难度也增长了近2倍。(难度按照年初首次统计,年中基本呈波动上升状态)
; J" L5 l; w% `* e: H好了,那么我们取难度涨幅最低的值1.6倍来测算2019年的难度,测算下来,每期难度平均上涨约4%。这是我们后面测算的假设前提。
, l, V& l' I- L3 C) e7 ^
. ?8 i; Z& L% F$ F二、于是我们就得到了下面这个表。
8 L G, x! L+ I) Z5 h6 L图片:不会贴图不会贴图不会贴图
; A7 X- A( Q* c/ r. o) D7 X8 Z2 Q, M" T8 W4 Q
好了,很清楚了。第一档,家用电的小散,早就关机了。4 y# `' I8 d5 N# U- x+ H: B; H1 L
第二档,普通水电、常规托管电费的,挖矿暂时没亏,但是算上矿机成本也早已亏本。+ v6 L3 W; j0 [' u! }- q* }
第三档,老少边穷的风电、火电等,如果买矿机的基本也是保本状态,因为按照1台s15每年大约挖0.3个btc,需要3台矿机同时挖1年才能得到1个btc,而矿机的使用周期差不多2年。
, R2 ^0 n) w' n& b, B( o: s很多人还说有第4档,伊朗、乌克兰等0.1元甚至不要钱的电,请问有考虑ZZ、安全风险没,真的去的也是少数。呵呵。
7 f: W; Y0 ], f2 P
, J4 T4 y/ ?7 ]* ]4 w5 T% c三、那么又一个问题来了,大家都亏损或接近亏损,为啥还有人挖?原来有一群人矿机成本是很低的,比如极寒同学,他们在新疆的矿场,BTC成本肯定不到2万。所以所谓的主流矿机挖矿成本为什么可以基本刨去矿机成本?明白了没。/ _$ a+ C5 I, A/ G( D- J
当然,价格主要由供需决定,难度、算力都是随着价格波动。所以并不是说价格没有下降空间了,如果价格继续下降也是成立的。有什么疑问大家互相探讨。
& k4 ?/ l w- A; H; _4 b* n( N9 m
( A5 F+ c0 k2 r |
本帖子中包含更多资源
您需要 登录 才可以下载或查看,没有帐号?论坛注册
x
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10487 小时
本月在线: 2 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3375 小时
本月在线: 29 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 16803 小时
本月在线: 141 小时
|
|
挖矿这个概念和虚拟币关联起来,我真是一点也弄不明白 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 11407 小时
本月在线: 45 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8166 小时
本月在线: 38 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5508 小时
本月在线: 34 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5538 小时
本月在线: 30 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8843 小时
本月在线: 48 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|