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Mt Gox 即将释放27亿美元的比特币,市场将再次触底?
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137,000 BTC 价值约 28 亿美元将很快投放市场,因为 2011 年 Mt. Gox 黑客事件导致资金流失,随后损失了 850,000 BTC,价值约 178 亿美元,以今天的价格计算。2014 年,Mt. Gox 报告说它发现了 200,000 比特币,但这些代币直到现在都被锁定在诉讼中。
2021 年 11 月,Mt. Gox 发布了一项正式的“恢复计划”,以将损失的资金返还给大约 7 年前无法使用其加密货币的投资者。然后,在 2022 年 7 月 6 日,Mt. Gox 和“康复受托人”Nobauaki Kobayashi向债权人发送了一封电子邮件,让他们可以选择接收美元、BTC 或 BCH。这一消息使我们比以往任何时候都更接近最终将资金释放给债权人。
Mt. Gox 硬币会影响比特币的价格吗?
正如加密货币分析师和 Crypto Banter 主持人 Miles Deutscher 指出的那样,许多投资者担心,由于抛售压力增加,137,000 BTC 的释放可能会导致比特币价格出现毁灭性下跌。
有些人甚至推测,比特币价格的下跌可能与以太坊合并一致,从而导致“翻转”得以实现。Flippening是一个假设事件,以太坊的市值超过比特币,如果比特币跌至 10,000 美元,以太坊从当前价格上涨 30%,就可能发生这种情况。
然而,这种担忧可能是没有根据的,因为许多债权人已经将他们的债权出售给了加密基金。Fortress Investment Group LLC 等集团向债权人提供了 600 美元至 1,300 美元现金的早期支付。引用 Fortress 董事总经理 Michael Hourigan 的话说;
“我们不是再等 1 到 1.5 年,而是为现在想要获得现金或 BTC 的债权人提供流动性选择。”
此外,尚未提前结算的债权人可能不愿意清算他们的比特币,因为他们立即代表早期的加密货币信徒。有理由认为,当比特币从历史最高点下跌 60% 以上时,许多收到比特币付款的人更有可能将其发送到冷藏而不是出售。
一些已释放的资金可能会进入诸如以太坊之类的山寨币中,而以太坊的历史上最重要的时刻即将到来。在 2014 年之前,几乎没有比特币的替代品,而在 2022 年,数以万计的加密货币项目可能会涌入投资。
如果比特币被清算怎么办?
在即将发布的比特币之前,一些比特币已经售出。2018 年,小林在债权人会议上出售了24,658 个 BTC(当时价值 2.6 亿美元) 。打折
“对于获得适当数量的资金以确保债权人对本金的利益并延迟已确定和未确定的破产债权的损害赔偿是必要和适当的。”
如下图所示,清算标志着 2017 年牛市的顶部。随着 Mt Gox 持有的比特币数量下降,比特币价格下跌,导致 2018 年熊市,直到 2020 年底才恢复。
如果剩余的 Mt Gox 基金的释放对比特币的价格产生类似的影响,它可能会跌破 10,000 美元。然而,即使在最近几个月,来自 Luna Foundation Guard、三箭资本和比特币矿工等各方对比特币的抛售压力也相同。
LFG 卖出了价值数十亿美元的比特币,由于市场吸收了抛售压力,这对比特币的影响可以忽略不计。由于市场信念和整体全球前景的变化,事件发生后的几周确实导致比特币价格下跌。市场很可能会吸收 Mt. Gox 债权人的任何抛售,但早期比特币人放弃其代币的社会情绪可能会产生看跌的心理情绪。
来源:金色财经 |
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