Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块，以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7810
[posts] => 55458
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 26
[oldrank] => 26
[lastpost] => 2795945 如何才能走出新手村啊 1768045254 天策-瑶娥
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
/ v1 _' Z, \. s3 E. Z4 q' z/ Z: ^; ~+ J3 B: e5 a0 j) y5 B
其实原文标题不是这样的* Z0 C) K3 t3 X
+ x4 s4 _! I7 l O% j2 W* Z
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
' }( C: d* W; M( ]
$ X! `) e" W3 C+ V4 B6 H8 r2 s% P, U
6 n; _0 j; x8 f) x6 B
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...4 E$ A2 E! K: R& i
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
# g" \0 }" W `! _# z! q( d9 n4 H8 t% q/ p! f8 i# ^4 m0 {3 R
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。; N/ j; h* f( O. a4 I
, d+ j2 o7 j' x" c( _5 d 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」 Q$ a& U8 j! k5 Q. K$ ~: V- s& X
' n& B+ A! T; e- W0 [, A" u x
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
* g* q2 @8 a. d5 C& x8 i「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」- P" I: E4 s! [! P% O9 _8 w
% P# B8 v! n, i/ H 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。8 U1 j) n) `& k) U; _
# ^4 K2 F' H$ J W1 D
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，0 g, x- N" G" {2 _' z$ E0 N! o
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
% K: @1 { {4 b9 o长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
0 j, u" b B4 |0 S因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。7 K' @; x* U! T! T, I
心想赢定了。
8 A5 Y/ o/ Q9 P7 L/ b
' d# p1 h- P. ^' S没想到开始不到半刻钟，! B; l9 }) i1 p+ ]0 K
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
n) X+ A: c) t1 k* q 4 `2 K9 ^4 e! B0 w. j/ n8 t
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，& C/ {1 p" l3 c4 A5 C8 E) D
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。% Q) M7 J* Z. z5 C
; X* e7 F' y R9 B Q3 I" P) C赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
6 ^: Q' r7 D: E, e X q" `他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 9 q: g+ n7 p# _+ G! o
上帝回答道：4 }5 M$ d% v* T" W) y# Z+ Y
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」5 r# M- R1 l6 x3 \! r! k" Q& H% H/ }9 T
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」; Q! Y9 z( M6 g6 T/ Q- I& y
「而不是先发生在我身上。」1 [1 J) H, _4 W( ~
8 r: x+ [5 r7 ]2 x5 Y+ i* h V 赌徒恍然大悟，: @; ~4 H8 ~ Y+ N, j; \1 Q' _
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
7 K4 U( }; q- D; E$ n9 ~竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
6 n9 B+ f* S. Z. C6 f「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」9 O/ _: f% K! @" Z5 x, |* G
上帝说完便不见踪影。 + R9 J7 f/ X' i1 Y, c9 i: f
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，' p5 g2 i5 F/ @7 V7 h: P0 {) B
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
! o9 R! W8 o1 _; g! }4 h, r1 I1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，! E. F) h4 T9 A- e! D" M
对赌徒十分有利。9 h5 y. U5 q9 `. ]
6 P5 N! s: R- S h( w7 J8 N1 n! {但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
) f9 L- ~) t7 c y; p( P在还没掷到1000次之前，; I: h% [ o6 m& s; n
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
$ P" r2 `# i* ?! N! ^7 w" e# p, R" A
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
3 E' P# k. q0 b, d# Y' ?$ S; y; B
2 z m, v7 x# Q% Z5 U& y& v 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
/ l# @$ J2 i5 m. ]& b/ V j
" A& Y* _2 w( w) u% u7 m; q* s 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，: a. W5 n" t0 Q+ f! u: q) H6 T
+ }: |! r0 f: M; @" X A; F, r 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
( c6 |2 M, e) \
, G; H& ]2 { ]9 W5 z/ I |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
