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[体育菠菜心得方法] 如何判断菠菜公司盈利方向
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这次将介绍如何利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,从而对一场比赛作出比较准确的判断。看本文需要对让球盘和水位有一定的了解,一般网站足彩专栏都有介绍,本文将不再赘述。
& I0 }. P" M: h: @单场涉及的比赛面广、繁杂,除了大家熟悉的五大联赛外,还包含多国小联赛,想要收集众多小球队的信息,对于普通彩民来讲难度不小,以互联网现有的赛事资讯远远难以满足判断比赛的需求,所以对菠菜公司开出的盘口具备一定的认知知识是很有必要的,菠菜公司拥有强大的资讯实力,以及无孔不入的关系网络,他们对于一场比赛所能了解到的信息要远远超出普通彩民的想象,所以通过盘口判断比赛是彩民常用的一种行之有效的方法。
' p: j1 N" O& g0 X- u; \: d5 {. u随着菠菜业的发展,菠菜公司已不再和菠菜者对赌,现在已发展为赚取上下盘投注差额,从中获取利益,可以说基本立于不败之地,菠菜公司开出的盘口是参考了两支球队实力以及非实力因素开出的,其操盘手法纷繁复杂,稍不注意就会掉入其设置的诱盘陷阱中,那么一场比赛菠菜公司如何才能获得最大利益呢?大家知道,盘口水位会随着距离开球时间的临近而变化,这是菠菜公司根据上下盘的投注额,来降低赔付风险,所以常有诱盘一说,一般来说,菠菜公司根据自身的资源,对一场比赛的结果是有比较精准的判断的,当比赛结果可能会造成很大的损失或某个结果会带来巨大利益时,甚至会出现操纵比赛的可能,假球也就应运而生了。
, F+ ]: y/ i, p5 Z" C1 O/ u0 f判断菠菜公司的盈利方向是对比赛走向的一个最好的方式,可是菠菜公司的资金流向是不会公开的,我们可以利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,每次足彩开奖前,大家都爱到各网站查询过关统计,根据此来推算奖金成色,本文所介绍的方法也类同于此,单场的即时SP值往往代表了一场比赛上下盘投注额的比例,下面就来谈谈怎么推算:* S/ Q' |7 o6 A
首先我们假设一场比赛的投注总额为1,, j/ Y# T' L& V; W/ \
设胜项即时SP值为X
( q" L, q+ l! o# Q3 B9 m5 y/ ^设平项即时SP值为Y
' P4 G8 h7 n2 F* t* D/ w6 k2 }设负项即时SP值为Z' t# R; a' }  Z* W+ j# [. x
那么结合投注总额和即时SP值我们来推算胜平负投注比例:
- A' z* ]# r# B! l6 N4 }: Z主胜投注额比例为1÷X* _: E8 {2 j% q1 L+ ^
主平投注额比例为1÷Y  W+ j4 Q* ~# L/ n$ Z* \# W
主负投注额比例为1÷Z: W- G( d; S$ t0 I: z0 O
下面来计算菠菜公司的盈利:% @1 H+ u% }. Z, {0 ]8 C
上盘胜出:W1=(1÷Z)-(1÷X×上盘水位)
+ z5 H4 Y+ @) ]- v走 盘:W2=(1÷X)+(1÷Z)-(1÷Y)* o9 P5 j/ a: T  Z3 i( c
下盘胜出:W3=(1÷X)-(1÷Z×下盘水位)
, n& t! r  W2 ^2 t如何根据菠菜公司盈利来判断比赛:
" y! \9 E, F+ A% s& M! {, l( m( F根据推算得出的W1、W2、W3,盈利最大值为菠菜公司最为看好的赛果,大家投注时可按此赛果选择首选项,盈利接近的话可考虑双选或全包。* L& B- _$ z6 e: c6 ~
以平半盘为例:
6 p7 o" u% u4 k) K; d主胜上盘全赢,主平投注上盘输一半、投注下盘赢一半,主负下盘全赢,套入公式则:  z5 `4 r" e) s6 `( \
主胜W1=(1÷Z)+(1÷Y)-(1÷X ×上盘水位)) C3 y& @! L/ X  H
主平W2=(1÷X)/2 -((1÷Y)+1÷Z))/2×下盘水位* _+ p- m  s) @( i
主负W3=(1÷X)-((1÷Y)+1÷Z))×下盘水位+ F2 I( `; x6 Y
说明:' K; I* w6 e  E3 e8 q4 o* o1 b
1、即时SP值采集最好为比赛开赛前半小时或一小时的,此时的SP最接近开奖SP值,这样推算的更为准确。
, c: C' Q! v- b: Y1 J9 G, }2、盘口常常开出如平半或半一这样的套盘,推算菠菜公司盈利时要将此考虑在内,上面公式并未计算套盘的情况,上面公式只是提供一个方法,个人应用时要结合开出的盘口灵活运用。0 ^+ K  C: `% V/ l$ D8 y9 I. B2 d
3、本推算公式建立在主队为上盘的基础上,适合主队为上盘的比赛,若主队为受让方可自行调换主客队推算之
7 Z6 D8 V$ p+ {7 r1 k* y
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是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
挺科学的,用数学来解释挺合理的{:4_195:}
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神奇波波 发表于 2015-6-2 07:34
, S0 g4 P* ^; ^% X( ?' Y0 K是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊

( B6 T9 j6 z, D( t: U- ]6 n只能说可性大一点的哦
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{:4_99:}
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