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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。! b7 J- @, l3 O
4 Q' B: t- e( u" c% H研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所1 R* ~9 a+ L7 X8 X# u. P& z
4 B! a d( V5 @4 ^7 M" ~获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。8 O3 c3 p& G# h/ H u& @0 K2 Y
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在3 y) M; h6 P6 h6 ~. X) J4 w
7 H' K% v% P: R- ~ Q. K2 L刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代8 s3 l" G) o0 K
~: o- G4 T+ @5 [8 q0 @2 C币待分配。
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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) R3 v7 C2 N, @: \: f2 R5 P! W补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。7 w5 y$ a2 T- _
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流动性减弱
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/ H3 G `! v: [7 \3 I除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大
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约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。: }$ l8 Z+ u4 S, V
0 v: q7 A2 K! M“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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