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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，( \$ `$ u- x; K @
( n1 Z6 X. d9 N3 [$ s5 t比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？( Q4 }; i. X3 b5 F4 h2 q7 h( M
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：; v% V! {6 {, i5 f, R# j( o
! ]5 x/ r: T8 p1 P7 l5 B% ^1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
( F: v. x- [5 X. B! {9 u, E) K% ]/ S$ S0 r2 Q+ V2 j1 t7 q
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
) Q. t1 z' A G7 T; v0 r8 v/ C/ n3 C9 \) x
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全; f0 _3 K: k& ^# w: R
/ h9 ?8 e! Q2 ?% H7 L
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长# K" o4 [' w8 j) o# x
2 ^0 G: s! v) x6 X- O6 u. J5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH % J5 K3 @, k" d' R& x8 h; |( w
; Q! ~7 {' x8 n9 YLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和! C& ? w4 R2 C7 b
/ z, f4 |' a# c
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
2 v4 q* |' @2 e6 _; n* x
3 X# Y1 \ X ^- c9 {; R/ ]美金）。+ K$ s8 l5 k y9 k2 R- |
' U% D X& ~* i8 H1 K& e$ G
- s X: B8 ~" n e' D
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态6 b: W5 |/ {. U; z5 G) B0 ^4 Y
; G" P2 m7 D; H$ x: U+ z( V$ d4 c
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去+ i- D! u/ s/ B+ }0 C
! I7 V7 c K* E1 p+ I3 j* v0 p构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
* h! c1 u9 ]. y1 p: }; _# Z4 y1 R' Q2 W
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
4 H. ]' R' G4 Q% N# n, ]
. f* m+ A* u1 o% b1 p尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
) Q- Y4 [. i- B) u' E& N! m W2 C
0 K2 D% a0 v& A0 a3 Y% f# ~4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL ?$ _1 a7 ~5 ^" G5 w8 a( @
1 [4 [- y$ E1 o" [( G3 ^8 s n
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如- _! F. ^% V7 m: Q% [* \
& P I6 Q" H. ^8 j" \果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
( _8 z8 G5 ?2 M! T! w/ i6 J+ ?. i) k
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
2 X" x/ q: w+ Z4 }7 i
) O1 }$ ?$ c' C0 |- M& Z9 a# G0 `0 O8 d
' ^" A3 a' D/ G' g9 C) ]. W
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