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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。) G2 f% I( _- [6 z; u
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
/ e |; _7 A/ p/ k, ~! R: F什么是ISDA？# i* y$ f7 k) G
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
- s& y! Z- Y5 @营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约7 R, O" o$ Y0 u
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
: C7 I2 ]" \2 `5 k# t双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
& O8 L6 G( Q: Y; M- e6 J$ t场的正常发展。+ ^; B5 a5 M I- L& [5 H$ i0 ^3 R, x
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。/ u4 t" S% t( D
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
2 C* r1 a: I, R: @+ PDigital Asset。1 A: b) }0 L4 r1 o! N
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？8 A. }; B( ~8 K, a
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
1 \# L# G8 A# i响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
8 P5 l' i8 w# A7 P根据其推论：7 l1 Q4 N, h% ]) g0 e
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元, p1 V; h. b8 T3 }8 t2 g+ W
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元. Z. r: n% ~' {/ `# A/ W* P# Q4 H
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元, g, R1 `! k3 ?% u2 Z) A5 L
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
+ Z" V' s9 O" y6 `而XRP目前币价为0.661742
6 G" U- c% m' y2 y0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
# r) |* u0 W: O- `$ P挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？8 _( `4 N$ R* ?1 t4 z: ^0 t
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎& v( ?' a6 e V( B+ P
也未有极大的波动。* T1 h" D" f6 V: k m
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
2 D: e' ]6 ~2 B; _. u: ~% O# M性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这* U. l0 w* P# R# e i
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
( H: @4 `# }; i( a) l* x引导传统金融的采用呢？
) N/ B; j8 e9 [+ o. e: r) ?
z" \( H2 G2 y$ j& Q8 p- O |
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