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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的$ j; v5 Y( {/ G2 G: b6 K6 d% C" q4 _6 O0 m
# S# Y8 P0 J9 R. }0 h- C
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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3 l5 W5 Z+ H+ x
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...& z, [0 h4 } M- U2 t2 H) r
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
% b/ Z3 n _5 P! S0 y( |. R' i4 }& N0 o
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。5 L- k& T: j+ Z" s
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」2 i" F& k% f: _: c8 P6 R
/ r8 J G- H. E. O2 A2 v# Q「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
! D; `. \) [5 Z「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」3 ]7 `9 A3 o/ z/ W
+ V8 ]% m; X! s( S
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。, P6 { k! D( @1 @
0 Y$ m; F; i; f+ Q# s接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
5 n) a$ [: `; |! m因此铜板较容易出现正面。
5 J+ ~2 ?; z8 h. w& q/ a长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 ( f9 w6 V$ V8 P$ b- K/ J( l
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
, R4 Y# ^7 O6 d% \! ~心想赢定了。
4 g' {$ y7 Y/ s5 m, E! v
+ E6 x" H3 i* a% q3 M; i# ]没想到开始不到半刻钟，
# o1 u0 N4 ^) v8 Z( x/ P8 {赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
+ E7 l( [! b1 L1 C( d! U; S
5 w3 A2 |5 P1 x2 j+ L赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
) u" L! o7 N* t7 z; n& k但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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6 g v$ l( ]! d. {/ n1 o. _1 k赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?3 u( P. C0 Z( m6 D, S) g
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 : [( J3 K8 g& |
上帝回答道：
' u- x" C# y" F% r; T「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
8 t6 z G+ _" P) ?/ {6 q; z「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」& s+ j* l/ ^) H! E* \$ b
「而不是先发生在我身上。」& u# d3 x6 N9 T6 i$ H
% Y! A3 Z' v+ V% J) V( n/ { 赌徒恍然大悟，" `* d) k/ |/ w$ x$ k' Q, L
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
9 Q# g1 }& t2 a7 g0 \5 z9 F3 W: p竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
: ^1 O( o9 g" q5 l; S( M6 K8 z「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
& u+ i! `" o! C% g$ |9 Z上帝说完便不见踪影。 ; J8 G0 i$ o- U2 E$ l0 |8 |
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
! N; @8 a' t* W+ `0 @8 I若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，. {* t/ t: e& ^2 G# v! V
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
/ E: }6 ]; `: H9 j6 r对赌徒十分有利。
9 t6 T: a1 I, f( o. V 1 F' U$ G4 Y* X \4 M# V2 W; U
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现， w. c) Y0 H0 ~8 o& g
在还没掷到1000次之前，+ ]( ^2 m3 E& K* b
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。, E8 |' E, K8 R- [2 I
/ f8 I. I6 J- L% H 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。9 N. F# {8 b! |0 R( z
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。6 @# F3 e7 m* E( }& D! [1 G8 X
7 G9 j& i. a) t2 K 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
! I7 r0 z" p. X, v; O1 b& R& @) X
- \& P, \2 U- a# O2 _4 Q1 @$ d! ^ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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