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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四( A; U' N1 j9 m2 i X4 J5 G7 e7 L
4 _4 A+ K& @9 T
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置5 u9 F0 {+ X1 A$ E5 S( w
! k# x5 h0 I% ^$ q比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公6 s* r" H; S- z; o! [) O
; B/ P7 c4 L* a) s4 Q司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
" u) H' C- x7 n9 r# n, w' }在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比8 Z- _+ k( I' [* V q
# \6 S: l+ ^& B. c, E/ b# S% M' R4 S
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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# ~" V- s0 E/ g9 b+ _) J+ t(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。: Y6 f5 s' i5 U1 x
3 o& E2 a m, H4 q8 o# p
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货+ ]1 u5 |% T# Z p ^
( f0 R5 b0 n0 s) q L' n! e [
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，5 u' c. K* @0 Q8 t
& B" ^& ?4 V+ M+ w) X( x9 q( Q. \+ }% |并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
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“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
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3 \+ Z! }+ ]1 W! ?6 g币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价, i5 y* I& j' l1 P
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格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。! y+ a; N" @) r9 [
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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# X) ]% W( f0 W+ G8 r力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
6 j5 p. i8 V; g
- b. x- F1 K4 W! `- r2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。$ a( Y: J+ P" \5 ^' L8 ?
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自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到& f$ e' m( L/ M: z. D
' o! b Y! D- @( J+ f" S; t4 E" u63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。+ V. J( P" F |, \" B3 e8 U
K5 ?) { I1 [“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
' P4 `: p* N! G0 [7 s# B7 E0 @0 m, B0 l- c
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该# }! A. ~) F2 S3 n0 n; t
1 H4 ~) d' D2 D/ a# o$ }
会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。3 m* x/ y8 v: v
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' G; ?7 e" v$ Y* F$ R |
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