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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
2 y& ~* z- R: d/ E$ L, ]4 s; Q5 a' E1 n3 l2 {
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
9 z1 a" l) B! d: Y6 B- l2 T% C我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
$ \: h2 q: N* \- N3 i% g: |, g
2 F$ S' x4 w6 q) Z% Y* s# |) n1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
8 S h3 v3 ?$ C" l6 Z# q/ ]4 C6 s( W
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
' B, t1 g1 ? A" e
4 Z: P* O2 f/ ]6 Y+ P' `/ ]中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全4 D1 [; m1 j" L' @; S+ m# N# Q
" r4 V( S& ` K% p6 T- l去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长0 Q x2 W% g# z8 I8 y; w
; N$ L/ L8 `2 h7 V* B5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH & B+ L' S; Q0 _' \" U
* k; ~$ n. o4 o
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和" \9 j+ F2 c4 @1 c# t0 F) m. @
" E; d' \& |! G, O) o$ n2 |ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
3 R" v, t f! l% L( e9 i% I( X u) l! T
美金）。- A# o' ?8 G5 P) \! @4 g* a
9 X4 M a! W; b) s" {/ ~
: [# T2 X1 o. v* `2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态8 A7 y1 p& z; w9 W A; {
0 d) P1 s7 L# A" Q比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去" y4 y4 g! Q( g. f1 P
/ l, v6 K) h. Q; h- f构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
2 G7 } Z- W/ x7 ^1 Y. f; Z& W# R/ G6 f7 \# Y3 s: {+ V. {5 \, L' x
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
' B. ?6 ^7 g) R( p. s9 g, B3 C% R% I3 W3 D% w( B
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。; h, e" `% c. ^: M/ s$ X& \
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL( `! `5 ?" v3 p( y8 Z& {- I
0 |* l9 m- M; w: G
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如4 `& L' D% q# S. m
7 y; c: P( Q/ Y, v( _, A0 {0 z$ r
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美4 x- m; c1 t, s) h v0 H4 I2 ]5 }- h
0 u8 k/ Y9 l4 m$ y" o" r$ u7 o7 a金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
( X4 l, e* k/ V9 ^/ T4 l& c/ d0 d b" @5 w8 o8 Z# m9 g/ e
2 h9 B& z7 l2 H' d# \8 t4 v2 H2 q# `1 |% w; Y$ q; K8 k7 w$ e
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