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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。' m- z4 X$ @& ^
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
, f# L- T F' x* o' y4 R" H) S, i什么是ISDA？7 w. n& `5 V1 l, r' |! @
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
# k5 w, V/ a/ Y; _营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
5 q- M+ f' r# M3 |' u(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
5 O1 c1 c6 Y7 P& c双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市+ a* g L/ F* @
场的正常发展。5 Y+ S e+ u# `6 ?
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。( b- @( Z* M1 F k7 O9 r- P/ }, Z/ Y/ L
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
: c: r! T) Q0 l$ U: r. z& k) sDigital Asset。
2 Y0 P8 {6 [$ w3 t Y加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？4 b2 \8 \6 B) d' u
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影% f2 r' v7 @9 i b7 B& x* X# P
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。: I: B- f6 |8 ]
根据其推论：
+ P- y1 U' i- x- }2 W3 Z6 @现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元( @; S8 N% ]% U6 ^
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元; A3 A* h% P* w, _% b, i& P0 g
XRP目前总市值为349亿美元
. {$ H% j; J# C% Z( [需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元- N' @6 O1 @6 I; }, Z m9 z2 F
而XRP目前币价为0.661742
+ B3 Q- Q: t1 d2 g7 T0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
7 _# K; A E% a* ^2 p9 f+ \挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
. P% k* q c; [4 K4 F不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎2 f; I, G; M# r" G& R
也未有极大的波动。0 N9 O4 S" O3 s, B" P1 H0 V7 r
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生6 S4 q. o2 q* T9 ^
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
4 M* M7 v# v' r6 A* z个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢- f: C0 J( P Y( Y/ W2 w7 F
引导传统金融的采用呢？
4 z) i+ q! _3 J$ @
# r$ k- k9 _2 C2 V L, I |
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