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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 1 c: B, z/ O+ _
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其实原文标题不是这样的, N% Z1 h2 T* o: T- X0 e
+ S$ E! _7 q+ C, U这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...0 K, q% A! ]) ^& e
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。" q k3 \, H$ `* p/ i
$ p9 e! b* \& i% c. b
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。& y5 m7 l, x9 j" `( F# _, r
2 z; e! O( C5 j5 E0 `6 Z) n 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」4 F% @7 c3 M5 A9 q! L
4 c; b! v! o2 M* s/ r3 ~ E% \. q「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ! u& x3 }* u; l8 `+ Y
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」* e4 y4 E! C6 B; A( v1 [+ F
$ `3 K) d |3 s: s n 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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- b% X2 @& R) C) Y2 i接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，1 A% d" o$ |* _9 n: V6 i% M
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
$ W4 w1 a4 J7 L e( D' E长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
* P. }% a: G1 ^& s& }因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。4 e [' K! C" {/ Z- p1 O$ R3 R
心想赢定了。
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* [3 n/ b& C6 v6 E z没想到开始不到半刻钟，. S0 N! \, P2 `' j6 Q4 l
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，' t0 x; b2 |- F' i0 \& c
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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) [( }$ P9 P9 W7 U7 g/ p赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
) ~/ t/ z; ~! p. W他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 4 P- T$ i2 C" i2 ]4 X, S
上帝回答道：- W5 W3 h1 E( b6 _- ^
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」+ |% `) o1 {; J. \ Z* k: v1 Y: I
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
, Q+ ?( J; j5 r( O+ w5 m) J) X |「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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7 N1 C% g( R3 X, o4 r/ U 赌徒恍然大悟，
, e7 `0 O M g2 B! @原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
2 W) G) k" m1 v( V7 M$ K" m竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！1 [/ L: }9 a; q# F4 t2 d# u9 e
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」 H. y3 J: h B3 @5 a# U: h
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
. s+ J+ h! K$ K, N1 N6 z7 P若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，0 K% k9 N0 |" I! j
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
* D i3 p6 \1 M* T4 _" s8 I( p& F: |对赌徒十分有利。. k0 B9 W0 }. M! M, } G
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
: }- N# K3 ?5 L+ s$ n% c在还没掷到1000次之前，
% |# r+ x$ W, r4 k' l6 u, d仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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3 U6 v- Z. d3 B 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。1 c. p6 s& Z% Z/ K, O6 x
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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