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[lastpost] => 2802038 比特币价格跌至9个月低点后，市场情绪转为看跌。（转） 1769791723 人生如赌
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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3 Q5 |9 i* o, F) Z) x 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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; f8 M: u6 `8 `, J! N市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。! t8 R: _; z/ F5 R! E) r
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与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而: f( V4 B" e4 |6 T% x& p3 E
2 W& `8 `' S5 Z“短期看空”比特币。+ b' B0 ^2 D9 x4 m& H
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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1 C* V, W9 S& T9 ^: i实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”# ?, j) M5 L% y m; h. }0 j! `
' Y% {9 W& B0 l2 q
报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。. |+ \5 N5 r O* P/ r5 I
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，1 }: Z; F# M- J
( _/ H4 x5 M) a' O2 C0 a# T4 B而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。3 |! `4 U0 N4 J, I; ]7 l( I
. q- y! K. |0 ~, j BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
( _8 f7 u8 S* P6 b7 I2 u( s9 E( n) \2 g% `
利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”! v7 t( }; B: `7 X
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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+ y: @! f! {) m# J7 C# d将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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