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[lastpost] => 2770519 比特币 2026 年的价格催化剂：宏观顺风和机构支持将推动下一轮牛市（转） 1759343352 jackcool1011
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加密货币研究机构K33 Research称，一个来自比特币衍生品市场的信号表明，发生“逼空” —— 这可能引发这一全球最大数字资产大涨 —— 的风险逐渐上升。, C, A) V! P1 r$ n+ N
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这项指标就是比特币永续期货（有助于衡量投机者的看涨或看跌程度）的融资利率。K33表示，在8月20日，7天平均年化融资利率为2023年3月美国一串银行
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倒闭惊到投资者以来的最低水平，表明看跌押注盛行。
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3 m; C3 t4 t+ v2 r; Z9 }/ I1 r( [ K33分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在报告中写道，过去一周永续掉期融资利率均值为负，而未平仓合约急剧增加。“这意味着投资者大举做空，从结构8 R+ p: A* u% D$ h/ f" @
" ]. h: D3 H s4 b上为逼空创造了一个成熟的环境。”
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) N4 \+ ~1 r& }" H6 W3 t 在逼空情景中，价格意外上涨会迫使短线交易员结清空头头寸，从而进一步推动反弹。比特币市场情绪近来一直很低迷：这种数字资产8月下跌并难以保持* c" h/ ^/ Q) i$ d/ F; J
7 r8 e6 B3 A r& ? u1 s' W在60，000美元以上。与此同时，一项全球股票指数迈向纪录高位，黄金价格已经创下新高。
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8 E. N0 q5 k% f! m K33表示，永续市场的名义未平仓合约在过去一周的增幅合29，000个比特币左右。8月20日的7天平均年化资金利率为-2.5%。Lunde和Zimmerman表示，
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c' x6 `5 M$ A( f; x在融资利率为负的同时未平仓合约增长得如此迅猛，是相对罕见的。: T' J$ w' q: N9 n
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永续期货由于没有固定的到期日而受到加密货币投机者的欢迎。在更传统的芝商所比特币期货市场，交易活动也持续攀升，这可能表明美国机构投资者9 n; I# g P, R- E
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重新参与到市场中了。7 L8 q" T G1 p0 ]+ h8 h1 `
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这个倒也是可以去了解下看看了啊。  |
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