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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
$ Q F5 N9 D; K/ [2 h8 U% @8 H# S7 ?( K; x" j$ O6 w
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？: `) o* D* c" A' l
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：0 Q. Y7 A" v7 z
, H8 o) ^7 I w4 G+ R* f
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
I1 Y0 A. z8 n* T6 R% n2 n- Y
5 H/ Z0 G( D2 j4 z' n没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
. }! [5 G0 ]$ g4 L% ~: ?) t7 S% Z1 y7 R0 V3 D, v2 T' k
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
! l+ n) ?, ]3 b5 B3 W: d: H
" l& u! F# n/ k: e) O去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长$ p8 l" h+ t& e9 R0 Y
5 q+ M# x$ c0 I& r5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH # c) f' J# P" e3 D* B
* |5 ^$ x- M; A- |* Y3 ^2 I6 j
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
+ m3 W; X0 |/ d. M. ?7 p) U* h4 f' N7 b" B/ y9 {
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
2 a i* l h l8 s2 p j z% ^; V3 b: n( z
美金）。9 P9 m/ e5 y( a1 x* l+ @
! x4 g& F7 v3 T# c2 x4 x% Q# n
+ n) d, d$ l4 G* w5 V' k1 N! E2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
+ m! O" E4 c4 u. j5 A; Q: G% Y1 {+ w3 k
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去* p& U! K. ^. n; v; @( y4 R1 p
6 W& \) L) G8 f. t: Q1 V
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。3 l: Q: R7 V! C
% L. ]% W& n& S" g/ }6 z3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户5 t: x& F$ a# |. H6 K* Y0 L
) D! B+ k, h; K5 f' t" e
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。; t. m! L( ^) g# ~& o G
) c! T( W; v6 _+ }( w) j, K& P4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL) q7 o% ]& _; D
# M1 C" U+ W& e+ t1 j- D5 L; H$ N约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如5 ^0 j( z/ g7 M
# y; `7 V2 a0 A! h7 u果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
7 s5 ~& b s7 t6 m' b; Y( j; d2 o4 ~3 n- G- j( {& q0 y* v2 h
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。- y( j% @/ M* T; P8 s
( s9 `5 |( o# b7 J. {% T- M$ T8 |! U3 D$ ^
x {+ ]$ C! X: ?# B
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