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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 8 a- G$ W, h. l* T1 }; r+ @
' \( k6 ]* x& S' p& n @$ L
其实原文标题不是这样的
# K' B9 Q4 l( L" [* @$ e& y7 \. ^
' w9 p2 R$ `3 C; W- k这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
% y0 P7 p- `" X! P4 i: v6 o. L* b* B. R0 F2 E3 t, R
$ {, Q) E- I- d* K, F8 c
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
' K0 a I8 W# V1 `他希望能和上帝来场赌局。# @0 E5 Y% ~8 t- |% a6 x0 t- j( K
; {4 o M* ]! u5 w 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。7 g6 n$ ^$ m. f0 o1 D
' t9 Z' ^' A. x- d
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」' p9 G( u& Z& X
" @' I7 p6 h1 d「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
" t. j" y- B! v" F o* c/ Q「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
6 K9 L- T+ g1 I! U1 |/ c* Q9 `4 _- F. x% P+ w: ]- r* c
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。6 r0 J# F6 {! t0 e- \# L
: O4 U( t" I4 ~2 N
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
7 ` H+ c _. }' e因此铜板较容易出现正面。
{% X6 ^4 Z4 |2 M长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
i" H1 S, h& _ H: T# J( @因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。& Z0 X# B; f) {) n2 t$ S/ [
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，1 x: h. ]; o1 ]) i
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
3 {: q7 S% z& u) {; K, m7 a4 ^+ \
- _9 z1 N3 e# n$ x! ^+ E/ Z# x赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
0 T7 [5 m$ b* a2 e1 R9 K9 c( K5 Q但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
# ^' k, k8 }. J) S0 X
; ]' A$ [8 K, e3 K9 y赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
8 v6 l. C, D; n6 D: n, }: ]/ n他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 1 F6 f8 ~! _% d) L/ }* n
上帝回答道： D2 \# I: W s1 j8 R* M! X
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
' `/ L% `, k1 p! Q8 Y8 w. @「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
) G2 F4 K4 G5 k8 @9 S% q「而不是先发生在我身上。」1 g* X7 \% i) S
U$ G: K4 S& Y/ v9 q4 i
赌徒恍然大悟，7 B8 e+ V9 z: n( `+ m+ o) M) V
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
$ J$ w, r8 ]; r# Q. K; i8 @4 E竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
C. P& |! f9 E. t( F/ }「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
6 Q' ?# o9 X/ G" n0 y1 V3 D上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 l" a+ `; {/ e, l% s
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
2 @" t" P8 H5 p" K4 j! g- h3 U, I若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
; \/ s# ?5 I9 i W7 Z1 ]1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
! p9 l) N( h/ U对赌徒十分有利。4 |8 F# L+ B$ F) H/ i9 e
$ b8 H! v7 e1 L- m2 ~
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
: e4 D6 Z' a/ y5 @: |. }在还没掷到1000次之前，$ J4 N6 U1 e; K, L/ @
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。, O+ x) h7 z9 H2 H7 U
0 \) ?7 @: R v# u; N, c 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。; o: u5 F0 X& B# R8 K; V; o I5 R
' g+ k! F, I* b# d( m 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
: F h4 h+ y5 v2 x& {' [7 J. X8 v
7 ~; J k' d' q# a8 J( q 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，6 p# q' W" P$ _
4 P5 R. p9 d' l- ?3 F 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
( ~% [* |0 N, |1 l4 B: S$ N" U7 _' o8 R) p7 U4 z) O
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