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[lastpost] => 2802847 新帖子好少，之前账号能找回来不？ 1770081212 luckyangchun
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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/ ^% P ^* u8 `" e% ?其实原文标题不是这样的
# r; Y' {7 _; Y6 T" q) E7 k' t& {
7 S# r8 c+ r2 F; G8 m0 l8 T- d8 S这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!# ? W# v9 ]5 o; B: X; A( n; [$ H
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...* y7 m7 k5 F1 }6 I: J+ j ?9 {
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。* S; l1 j A/ M# }
9 [+ E, E1 D; h. A1 F- q( E* J 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
! Q) X; n/ |' V6 u4 Z7 p$ X( _. q# I
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」3 }! a! p0 t, r0 @- q" ^4 E
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ( ]* b: j" I% K4 ^
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」8 ^) j" Y: R$ a$ _
5 c3 k4 i S7 v3 [2 h9 c
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
* s: I q5 w- N因此铜板较容易出现正面。
9 H+ e$ T6 s' W2 i: K8 I长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
1 ^; u4 t4 C% E V因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。0 o$ B7 W& B$ m9 B9 e5 f
心想赢定了。
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, k$ r# d+ J9 Z( d N* ~没想到开始不到半刻钟，, ?8 A3 v: N5 o% d' g' K6 ^5 A& E
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
8 J) ], [: b, o* \ ? ! D, S0 \9 @9 a+ F1 M
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
4 e2 G% h" N% |+ S但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
! J+ `6 s# s v9 O / {3 g. g ~ k9 v# E3 C0 S
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
4 V9 F2 x3 J7 ] _" R. |. _他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
. j% z. Q+ j5 {
上帝回答道：
) K/ W: E+ @' Z8 t* \「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」7 t/ Z) X* }5 z
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
* Y4 _: V1 ^8 Y" I3 d「而不是先发生在我身上。」$ \4 N+ v7 G& _
6 j8 n- w2 Q( A5 s& ` E7 m+ g 赌徒恍然大悟，
5 e2 z) C3 [9 P' R( t原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
( P2 [! L/ @# f1 y0 o, \竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！: k2 K3 @3 @! x$ r
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, e( W Q6 W3 F
上帝说完便不见踪影。
, J* F- c) ^. H8 I! E1 i: V
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，0 a& S4 P! z4 k* `/ b3 p/ t; j
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，+ B9 I, n5 W2 B; ?. ~0 O8 m! z
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
4 s/ u# y1 a+ T& b, W对赌徒十分有利。8 X$ C* S" D# V
4 a* \$ e3 L" r- j+ n \) o
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，* J0 E; w, ]. L
在还没掷到1000次之前，
! s" t8 `# s" c/ f仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
; h* m) A8 m5 R7 L4 V4 V# q) s r" W5 q5 S
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
/ ^! h2 X# s" ~3 c' D" j& i$ E* l9 @6 F$ ]: ?
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。5 ]6 X: h, ^- n/ v9 }
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
7 M. A9 z# Q4 A1 l1 T8 q' N1 n
7 ^% F, @/ T; _, ^2 c/ e1 r" j( y 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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