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[打法交流] 骰宝投注单点，收益率的计算（转载）
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1#
以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题3 E6 e- k% S* H/ l1 F6 N8 G( ~

5 s' }0 X/ g" A, g  R) ~4 M! `因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始../ r" a9 }. L" ]6 T+ w

% i' m0 e  V6 E- k6 d假设直线A上有N个点，取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E，2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N
! P, D2 ]  s1 B, O+ ?7 U- R( e* U) @2 y7 ^0 x* x0 w9 Y
那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%4 u. l; P) c" e; b& t

, A; Z$ b# F3 d" d" W; F豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%
7 O2 ?& B6 o, m4 X* R( T+ P$ [, [6 H% G3 T( N
连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方（大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下）3 O; e/ `; A+ g, G7 q3 o6 Q

) X9 F, v5 a( J( o3 F0 Z* a( y% {在是压大小问题.
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根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..2 |! ?7 r/ G8 O" X% `7 |3 O( p

& }1 S; V$ w& n: ]由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的1 A  b8 {3 Q5 i! i! w* I" f+ h

& t! Q) I' n  e1 V$ c心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。
5 p' ~7 ~. S3 ~! ?* r( s: u" J+ R
也就是说，压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。0 K# m1 ^( j# i% ^( H3 c. a# T
2 O8 J0 N0 @. q; r" a' _
并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
  b% X8 H" ?" @3 I' \* z, R: z! p4 j# t
由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。
0 R( X( M+ e- u6 s1 J# R; y, ^; p6 S( Q: D$ P. Y
根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家！远离DB！; M& B" l' c3 z* K# e1 L7 S

4 a0 E# M  B3 a  A. l! |/ l! ]$ i, r还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百
7 I' x, g5 ^' e, x7 P
2 q3 p8 h3 h6 c* a: Y8 I今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
) C( E8 t9 |5 i! h0 J1 H: n
4 A' q1 h- H3 u& \: Z1 i6 t: ]偶决定在也不赌了~真的...$ W% ]/ X* b' Y5 p. K  t

# X: t  V% `4 f' [; x

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2#
玩彩票我看就压和值大小好了

0 回复 举报

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3#
筛宝的游戏我什么有玩过的了。

0 回复 举报

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4#
赢到的时候就该收手，全部游戏长玩就是完了

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
楼主遇到这种必输的局，运气也是非常糟糕了

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6#
没有人会喜欢必输的，我也亦不例外。

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7#
抽奖的过程不首要，结果才关键。

0 回复 举报

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8#
投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了

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9#
必输的局什么我必须是不会搞的啦

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10#
希望抽奖时给力的运气可以来临了的哦。

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11#
今次游戏在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.

0 回复 举报

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12#
必输的东西也是要来学学了啊，如此的东西还是值得学习的

0 回复 举报

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13#
这个游戏能自己好好掌握，也是很好的。

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14#
我又是来瞅瞅看这个投注最终怎样了啊,看起来还行

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15#
有幸运的话抽奖就是一个很不错的奖励了。

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16#
必输什么的是不讲道理的，就好比必赢的菠菜那样，干脆看开点

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17#
这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧

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