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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存, w% F. ?- f/ @ D! }" l* m
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所0 @5 z. r/ u7 e, k
8 x+ g5 }0 S" q/ ~# @% U获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。0 E& B8 ~5 ]8 d) M4 M$ `1 m
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代* z$ s. ~; y3 N) ~
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币待分配。
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们# W( f' C; U! ]1 n! | o
5 c- u& b& O2 O/ [6 R i: {补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。
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/ z% s. L0 p$ _# H6 @流动性减弱
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大$ J Z! q5 Q) b3 P% Y" w
3 A4 ~ o6 z6 {4 ?( P$ g) A( B5 y约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。2 K+ p1 z# _# q4 ^$ x! m
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“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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6 [4 R/ t7 s$ t- a8 l0 U报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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