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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 - q9 Y, l5 B' o0 Z0 G
* K2 u+ b* u; m, i1 X其实原文标题不是这样的3 C2 L; Y( |& L' \3 I; `
! t& F/ G' t' |: s( o. D. a* b5 i这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!) R V# v! V6 t" W$ B
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+ z2 ]0 c. ?4 L: M
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...# F! R! V4 @# Y- j
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。% o- Y1 b7 w1 @( g7 t+ N
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
/ d) Y% k' _5 |5 l# s; r: G- R, ^5 g7 j. o3 w
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
+ E# F; i L6 x+ h + A1 I$ u8 L8 U5 O
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
5 ?) ^: q) ]1 p! F「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」: }5 m( x- P. O/ d' ~& e% u8 l
& l7 K2 D& O& P 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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" ]) e U8 I0 x# N. T( T: z$ _接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
/ f' N) O1 f1 {# B3 G因此铜板较容易出现正面。
. w9 N2 l. C% u9 _' `0 `: D长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 0 W8 \$ Y1 }2 n9 H4 I9 P' ^5 H# T; B
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。, S) f: v* x# }$ ?( O& x! R; m
心想赢定了。
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# R# M0 g0 p( D$ M! X没想到开始不到半刻钟，
. ]: `! p. v6 L' f' O$ Q# S$ F1 O赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，3 v. ~: [& { ^
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。: N0 n' \( W; }# g) G( u8 ?( a. F
" z+ f0 X1 g9 M2 K; x: {赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?7 M } u4 t1 c- ~$ g6 @
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ' ]6 f* Q9 S: s0 l% D. j j l
上帝回答道：! Z8 |. P8 S4 A4 f/ W) \. G
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
- V6 M: z1 Y. {0 m「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
' @, B# P+ }' c「而不是先发生在我身上。」
9 q5 g! _/ s' D, \1 c
2 M0 j0 K9 O7 m* q 赌徒恍然大悟，% a! C* g4 z! K6 ]; s+ U
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
2 |" w" G- ]' z- Q2 `1 l竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
# D2 y' i. h7 n ]' |$ u7 [* r「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」1 {1 k$ o4 m, E9 C$ k" z
上帝说完便不见踪影。 . m7 g7 k. \+ U8 I
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
) w5 Z+ z3 M$ ~0 C9 K若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
: f( E7 r4 X3 r4 G1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
( B( F7 w$ C& E# C对赌徒十分有利。0 F; a/ c6 Q0 V
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
8 I0 ~! {0 [/ x) Y在还没掷到1000次之前，+ `$ k {! T; d6 ^4 Z
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
! L. f$ v6 G' f1 W: S! \3 n. |3 w3 e5 [/ y2 T' M
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
F5 i/ s2 e( @) s& {1 f! S- J; e4 o% O0 w2 N. o2 a* ^
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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8 L. W p" Q6 S% q* J 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ " ^, M9 |: d" g- s4 x9 F
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