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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。! U. W5 O5 L$ {1 D' z
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？. \# _, ^& b' [5 ~! D
什么是ISDA？+ i. \2 ?; F6 J2 q
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
! R$ L4 ^/ C n+ \. [( X' Q0 s营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约, `* o @3 a' B, v4 y2 E/ [6 H
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
T3 H* t: o+ Y( A双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
$ H$ k' L3 i/ I( i/ L! t场的正常发展。
) p( F: R/ X3 }* q, G换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
% s' \. ~6 q: D9 |进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和* |5 ?' v$ `4 Q1 d2 G6 `6 U. e& @& ]! M
Digital Asset。) B& o) |0 x: j' l" U p3 ]& x
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
: E1 W" ^: L" e' s" ]8 hDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
, O% t: j: m5 N1 Q+ K( H响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。5 {/ [! y$ Z' z; j
根据其推论：" {. ], y, x1 i2 f% d, d
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
( ]$ n) s8 b2 d# r; P% W若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
1 \( o% ~1 Z3 J7 B! SXRP目前总市值为349亿美元
; t" b8 y7 n, e8 h需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元 z y* q) o3 y9 _4 q# ?- f
而XRP目前币价为0.661742
; _( W8 Z- t! @% X9 v, C! L$ r0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元4 N# Z6 u% d o {7 v7 g' I( [
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
4 r, b! w4 X! K9 E不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎) w ~+ g$ A. X7 r& a
也未有极大的波动。
: P7 L- b# h7 w+ u4 t' [而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生
) g# v/ w8 m3 @4 n, X" A性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
3 J3 g$ q0 o5 b2 `; h个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
! Q( C% x9 d, L4 q引导传统金融的采用呢？( X: S9 W U1 O# u
# K3 o; Q: N# L8 v; l% |: N |
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