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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题! Z, R: u# T( n8 m0 r
9 f) u* B- }' V* b* K, x因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..
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2 b$ J1 Y6 u I- O6 Q/ |假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N
2 `9 t" r- n9 k1 `3 o6 R& g/ L- T" r/ g4 d _9 Q8 g
那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
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豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%. h' l( n2 [% k7 G) u; x
% D0 [" `* i5 p% r# f4 x
连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)
9 c1 y. k# ?' u9 b+ ?6 A, p
/ S& U+ P3 }; @ H. a% G; O9 R* T在是压大小问题.
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4 v3 t( g+ d( |$ [% a- [" w8 V- |3 e根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..$ V$ x6 T [1 V( T+ _
- `3 M; j. j+ b/ v" ]1 H
由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的/ ^; I+ y1 M+ p
! n+ O0 y% z% z: _1 Z6 I心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。3 P6 N8 r$ C( y0 V, v1 z# r
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也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。
; S9 s* z* p' f5 q1 R6 J; ^/ G+ ?6 I& W+ B' c3 n: R+ m
并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
4 n+ ?9 g8 Y! [1 D m# \; {: {% L' C
由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。
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" H3 V) E% V# T/ b3 J根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!
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2 [, e4 D, G3 j9 l4 T$ \# O还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百
( Y. h/ R4 J% R* e/ Q" f9 Z* T0 ^7 `' d! L( ~" {5 V. q8 m6 x
今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了
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/ O( o9 e8 }# v. _偶决定在也不赌了~真的...
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投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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必输的东西也是要来学学了啊,如此的东西还是值得学习的 |
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当前离线
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必输什么的是不讲道理的,就好比必赢的菠菜那样,干脆看开点 |
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当前离线
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这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧 |
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