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以太坊突破 1,700 美元 但可能会重回痛苦之路
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【我是Stary小谢,了解更多请关注我。】
以太坊(ETH)在周末起飞,并在今天的交易时段扩大了涨幅。随着“合并”成为必然,按市值计算的第二个加密货币可能会扩大其收益。
将完成以太坊从工作量证明 (PoW) 过渡到权益证明 (PoS) 共识算法的“合并”事件已定于 2022 年 9 月举行。加密货币中最受期待的日期之一行业方面,市场参与者似乎对其短期影响存在分歧。
在撰写本文时,ETH 的交易价格为 1,770 美元,过去 24 小时和 7 天的利润分别为 3% 和 5%。正如 NewsBTC报道的那样,1,700 美元是以太坊的关键阻力区,因为这个水平可以为 ETH 的价格方向提供更多线索。
如果加密货币设法将这一阻力位转变为支撑位,那么当前的看涨势头可能是可持续的,并引发新的牛市行情。在 ETH 的当前价格水平可能会发生相反的情况,市场可能会看到熊市以新的力量进攻。
以上基于 Jarvis Labs 对以太坊 30 天回报率的看法,该指标用于衡量加密投资者在此期间的短期损益。3 周前,该指标在一段时间内处于负值区域后趋向于 0%。
过去,每当以太坊将其 30 天的回报率转入正值区域(高于 0%)时,加密货币的价格就会长期下跌。因此,为什么 ETH 的价格达到更高水平至关重要。
根据上述理论,前高盛员工 Raoul Pal 认为 ETH 的价格将回到“痛苦之路”。Pal 认为,市场参与者一直在做空头寸,预计 ETH 的价格无法突破 2,000 美元。
ETH 价格在 4 小时图上有重要涨幅。
以太坊会无法突破 2,000 美元吗?
如果 Pal 的预测得以实现,这些交易者可能会感到惊讶,因为以太坊可能会继续呈上升趋势,超出预期:
(……)我的观点是更大的战斗在 2300 美元左右和趋势通道。通常,像这样的修正通道不会在第一次尝试时中断并首先急剧修正到该范围内,但这可能需要几周时间。
从这个意义上说,以太坊似乎有望在关键阻力位上方获得新的收益,但交易者应谨慎行事,因为 ETH 的价格可能会重新测试下一个趋势的较低通道,正如 Pal 所说。这可能会使 ETH 的价格低于 900 美元的年度低点。
如果发生这种情况,ETH 是否会出现长期看跌压力,或者“合并”能否将其推至之前的高点?
ETH 的价格接近 2,000 美元的主要趋势
#以太坊#【我是Stary小谢,了解更多请关注我。】
来源:金色财经 |
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