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冷风说币:多头拉爆 能否追多? 2022.08.09
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市场消息
据Glassnode数据显示,当前BTC交易所流入量(7日MA)为26,614,574.21美元,达21个月低点。
“BTC交易所流入量”是衡量转移到流入中心化交易所钱包的比特币总量的指标。
由于投资者通常将他们的代币发送到交易所进行销售,因此,当该指标的值升高时,这意味着现在正在交易所进行大量存款,这种情况下可能对 BTC 的价格不利。相反,较低的低流入值意味着可能是看涨的可能性。
比特币已经连续一周保持在2.2-2.4万美元之间横盘震荡,且振幅越来越小,交易量也日趋萎缩,种种迹象表明加密货币市场开始趋向稳定,投资者更积极倾向于囤积比特币。
这从最近长期持有者的数据创新高上也能够明显看出。据Glassnode数据显示,超过5年未活跃的比特币供应量占24.137%,创历史新高。
与此同时,Glassnode的数据还显示,超过65%的比特币流通供应量,至少一年没有动过;45%的比特币流通供应量至少两年没有变动;38%的比特币流通供应量在三年内没有变动。
截止写文,比特币价格为23795美元,以太坊价格为1778美元;市场情绪指数为42,状态为恐慌。总的来说,随着囤币党的增加,虽然加密市场活跃明显不足,但对后续看涨信心却明显增加。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑23800-23800美元,短线压力24300-24600美元。大饼昨天向上突破23500美元的压力封锁,为进一步向上反弹奠定了基础。大饼突破后并没有急于求成而是选择回踩,冷风认为这是比较典型的作法,大家不要太紧张,在23500美元附近上车就行了。至于八月的走势昨晚冷风直播间讲解的非常清楚,找客服要就行了,也可以看我们的油管。
ETH短线支撑1680-1730美元,短线压力1820-1860美元。与大饼同步震荡,但整体强于大饼。以太坊作为此波反弹行情的引领者,它的表现对未来市场行情的整体走势至关重要。可以这么说大盘稳不稳要看比特币,行情有没有要看以太坊!主流币跟随大饼波动,按照大饼节奏操作。昨天推荐的是ADA,ZEC,LINK,建议继续关注。
山寨币三个原则,大饼稳,板块热,龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点,一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调,存量资金搏弈,局部式行情,而这局部就是山寨币。 冷风认为只要大饼稳定,山寨币才会有表现。昨天行情又是最炫山寨风,再次证明冷风看盘的正确性,今天早盘操作基本结束,白天可以重点关注PP,IMX,DOT,NEAR等。
来源:金色财经 |
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