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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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5 h/ t2 @6 K6 K
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。1 F4 |* G- r2 L N
" g! C, W/ d5 d/ X这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。$ t8 [+ l/ M L( q6 ?
& t2 h) I+ U' A$ h为什么？9 \4 M- U! z( t6 j4 h
) t, F+ h. n! n$ ^7 o h1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
" S4 T" E$ C6 @2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
' d3 u4 o8 a; c 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
& o0 Y" A5 H" V- g# ` 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4: }* K/ t5 Z. I8 d& _
第一把输，你没有了。3 H d4 t, d" A$ N7 A3 _% x0 |) I
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
Y) b; v& d( j# G 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
0 O) N# q$ c( h …………无限下去。
9 k6 ?5 I1 b# k- O0 _4 h清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32…… u) S- H; `) N' x4 O P! M
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
9 e3 U5 Z- Q+ ?) N9 C: V) O
" [# O2 w8 v0 T& h p& p4 i- o这就是总是输的原因。。* U, w0 O6 }2 l2 f3 \% a$ F
; K$ Q; w$ t! o% I7 b1 [ X% s6 r q为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
# B; m5 l; `7 r F& U9 F2 H
|2 L$ H$ Y; b1 A. _! [# O1、我觉得可以打偏差。
8 v" k! I+ Y5 p2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。, l% L3 S4 ]2 D9 @& Y- {
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
! G" {1 j/ x$ g" S0 E* c9 f# w8 l' K7 s" x8 z
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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