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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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3 R( T# c& [. _5 s+ Y/ ^有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。6 x: Z8 R+ c# `) h- j8 p
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。' d; I* }5 O+ i9 X
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为什么？
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) t8 S) p3 k k5 a Z8 Z1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。6 z9 P) P: b7 A5 H$ y+ P
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
2 F P6 e [$ w% e n# F9 b4 L: N 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
, L- w* X+ v* f8 _( O$ m 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/41 H: J# {' r( y/ W# A
第一把输，你没有了。$ X/ K3 s* k+ B# B/ X4 @
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
' p# w _- }! l* i. S- ?8 d3 x 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
5 C+ g9 d+ C3 I3 c" C* a% [* T …………无限下去。* N: O+ H0 l+ b' y
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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' H9 E, l( R0 f5 i, F" m! K这就是总是输的原因。。: o: j: S7 f+ V- K5 o
) i( V( M9 J+ s& c0 C( W4 Z为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？: |/ E( z8 y( a3 C# O+ h
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。- a; {& f# ?5 b. u) Q+ W! e
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。7 d# s9 o1 l/ T- I# o
1 o4 R" Z2 l: @- T但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。 R* [+ X" X- M4 Q% y E9 V! z
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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