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[打法交流] 骰宝投注单点，收益率的计算（转载）
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1#
以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题, |* O5 K8 s- t' I9 S- a
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因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..( K) b% t; O/ o' d0 m. \; R3 m

5 p; T( J7 P* d3 S7 y假设直线A上有N个点，取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E，2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N( o8 w8 r( T+ E: s) g

# l+ F" r' T" n% s- i! a6 ]那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%
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豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%$ f4 a" ~6 j1 j
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连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方（大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下）
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4 V% O5 [: i3 p; N  @在是压大小问题.3 S+ C3 d: f+ ~. k; N! S* C; J2 o
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根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..
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由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的0 X: P0 u/ y9 G6 J: G! E
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心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。) M( _* q2 N! A6 ]

; f( `( a. P$ I  j3 P+ Y1 l' ]也就是说，压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。
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' [  y" O/ ^- S& f, W% T8 E并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
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' N0 e& \5 c) u& r/ |由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。- N& b* @$ B5 O* g, N3 B' \
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根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家！远离DB！  [6 P+ v" i0 c9 M4 A/ g2 W
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还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百$ O0 P/ w7 V8 o- O" K' N

: i5 ?+ s7 P- P. h/ i, d9 }今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了# d, [6 F7 o: [# V/ G# `
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偶决定在也不赌了~真的...
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2 ]# ]2 o- a0 a* y, w

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84#
要是计算的话那还是很难的

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83#
这个投注也是要看运气的了

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82#
有在看计算的啊，怎么说的啊

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81#
收益率的计算是要去弄明白的

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80#
这个该如何计算也很难说得清楚。

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79#
看来也是有很大的收获的了吧

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78#
反正是之后都可以抽奖的呀，下次再继续努力了

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77#
这个游戏有收获还是最好的结果了呀。

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76#
有盈利的时候就该离开，全部游戏长玩就是完了

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75#
投注还是需要安定一些,着急什么的千万要不得

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74#
必输什么的遭受肯定是不好的东西，企望我不是

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73#
必输的东西也是要来旁观了啊，这么的东西还是值得学学的

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72#
只要继续抽奖，幸运总是会降临的。

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71#
这次游戏在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.

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70#
这个游戏能自己好好掌握，也是很好的。

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69#
必输的游戏什么我必定是不会耍的啦

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